Match Info

Date: 9 January 2021, Saturday


	Nîmes		Lille

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.5	1.44	Watch
	7.25	4.2	1.48
	7.5	4.3	1.46	Watch
	7.2	4.4	1.44
	7.9	4.56	1.47
	8	4.33	1.42	Watch
	7.7	4.65	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.58 ↑ (7.06)	4.42 ↑ (4.38)	1.45 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
12.6%

Draw
21.6%

Lille
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

21.6%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

18.6%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.1%	8.9%	83.1%

Nîmes - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: Lille will win (103 of 124 users predict this - 83.06%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.46% – 89.66%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Ligue 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Qualification)).

Nîmes has a good chance of relegated (81%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lille has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (57%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Nîmes has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lille is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Lille is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 1
06.01.21	Strasbourg - Nîmes	5:0 ✺
23.12.20	Nîmes - Dijon	1:3 ✺
20.12.20	Saint-Étienne - Nîmes	2:2 ✺
16.12.20	Nîmes - Nice	0:2 ✺
13.12.20	Lorient - Nîmes	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLL
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
06.01.21	Lille - Angers	1:2 ✺
23.12.20	Montpellier - Lille	2:3 ✺
20.12.20	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	0:0 ✺
16.12.20	Dijon - Lille	0:2 ✺
13.12.20	Lille - Bordeaux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
26.04.20	Nîmes - Lille	Canceled
06.10.19	Lille - Nîmes	2:2
28.04.19	Lille - Nîmes	5:0
16.12.18	Nîmes - Lille	2:3
Coupe De France
05.01.13	Lille - Nîmes	3:2

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