The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lille 64.3%
Draw 21.8%
Bordeaux 13.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63%
22.1%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.7%
22.2%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
78.3%
8.4%
13.3%
Lille - Bordeaux Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lille will win
(65 of 83 users predict this - 78.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.44% โ 87.18%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
Lille has the most likely position - 7 (15.4%), has project points - 61, has currently - 46, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (13%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Bordeaux has the most likely position - 20 (43.95%), has project points - 31, has currently - 22, has a good chance of relegated (77%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality56, importance47, match rating52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 0.
Lille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Bordeaux is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Lille is absolute favorite.
Last 22 head-to-head matches Lille won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 34-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25-13.