Match Info

Date: 10 September 2020, Thursday


	Nõmme Kalju		Mura

	1	X	2
	11	5.5	1.18	Watch
	5.5	3.75	1.53
	5	3.7	1.62	Watch
	5.6	3.9	1.47
	5.23	3.82	1.63
	11	5.5	1.18	Watch
	7.2	4.5	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.22 ↑ (5.25)	4.38 ↑ (3.96)	1.43 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme Kalju
13%

Draw
21.4%

Mura
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

22.8%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

18.6%

73.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Mura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mura's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mura than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.5%	5.5%	78%

Nõmme Kalju - Mura Predictions

Users Predictions: 127 users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju will win (votes: 21 - 16.5%). Mura will win (votes: 99 - 78%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 5.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mura: 70.8% – 85.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Nõmme Kalju in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mura 05 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nõmme Kalju could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mura 05 is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme Kalju FC
Estonian Meistriliiga
22.08.20	Viljandi Tulevik - Nõmme Kalju	0:1 ✺
15.08.20	Tallinna JK Legion - Nõmme Kalju	0:6 ✺
09.08.20	Nõmme Kalju - Narva Trans	3:0 ✺
31.07.20	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	1:1 ✺
Estonian Cup
28.07.20	Nõmme Kalju - Rummu Dünamo	8:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTW
- NS Mura
Slovenian PrvaLiga
30.08.20	Mura - Tabor Sežana	3:0 ✺
22.08.20	Celje - Mura	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.20	Maribor - Mura	3:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
22.07.20	Tabor Sežana - Mura	1:2 ✺
19.07.20	Mura - Aluminij Kidricevo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWT

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