Match Info

Date: 16 July 2022, Saturday


	Pärnu Linnameeskond		Elva

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	5.25	4.5	1.5
	5.6	4.2	1.44
	6.86	4.63	1.42
	6.5	3.9	1.4
	6.4	4.5	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.02 ↑ (5.96)	4.32 ↓ (4.64)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu Linnameeskond
15.2%

Draw
21.1%

Elva
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

19.7%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

19.1%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu Linnameeskond has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Elva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elva than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Pärnu Linnameeskond - Elva Predictions

Users Predictions: Elva will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pärnu won 1.

Pärnu has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Elva is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pärnu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Elva is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Pärnu won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Pärnu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga
04.07.22	Alliance - Pärnu Linnameeskond	2:1 ✺
30.06.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Harju JK Laagri	0:0 ✺
19.06.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Paide U21	1:6 ✺
30.05.22	Flora U21 - Pärnu Linnameeskond	3:0 ✺
22.05.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Viimsi JK	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLLL
- FC Elva
Estonian Esiliiga
13.07.22	Flora U21 - Elva	0:1 ✺
04.07.22	Elva - Nõmme United	3:1 ✺
30.06.22	Paide U21 - Elva	1:2 ✺
20.06.22	Elva - Viljandi Tulevik	2:0 ✺
28.05.22	Harju JK Laagri - Elva	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
28.04.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Elva	1:1
02.04.22	Elva - Pärnu Linnameeskond	0:0
31.10.21	Elva - Pärnu Linnameeskond	0:0
20.08.21	Elva - Pärnu Linnameeskond	3:0
07.03.21	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Elva	2:1
01.10.20	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Elva	0:3
05.07.20	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Elva	3:2

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