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Current Win Probability
Nürnberg 50.1%
Draw 27.7%
Sandhausen 22.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
28%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
28.1%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nürnberg's performance.
Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sandhausen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nürnberg that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sandhausen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.3%
0%
6.7%
Nürnberg - Sandhausen Predictions
Users Predictions:
Nürnberg will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
Nürnberg has the most likely position - 15 (14.23%), has project points - 37, has currently - 22, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sandhausen has the most likely position - 18 (32.85%), has project points - 32, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (60%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality22, importance61, match rating41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 3.
Recent matches Nürnberg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sandhausen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Nürnberg is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Nürnberg won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Nürnberg won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.