Match Info

Date: 2 October 2021, Saturday


	Nürnberg II		Eltersdorf

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	3.9
	1.82	3.4	3.9
	1.77	3.7	3.95
	1.78	3.77	4.21
	1.66	3.75	4.33
	1.79	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)	3.64 ↓ (3.98)	4.05 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg II
51.9%

Draw
25.3%

Eltersdorf
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

23%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

15.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Eltersdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg II than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nürnberg II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eltersdorf than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eltersdorf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nürnberg II - Eltersdorf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation) and 17 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Nürnberg II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nürnberg II is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nürnberg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
25.09.21	Heimstetten - Nürnberg II	0:0 ✺
18.09.21	Nürnberg II - Augsburg II	0:3 ✺
10.09.21	Illertissen - Nürnberg II	2:4 ✺
04.09.21	Wacker Burghausen - Nürnberg II	3:2 ✺
31.08.21	Nürnberg II - Aubstadt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWLT
- SC Eltersdorf
German Regionalliga Bayern
24.09.21	Eltersdorf - Wacker Burghausen	1:5 ✺
18.09.21	Aubstadt - Eltersdorf	2:1 ✺
14.09.21	Rain am Lech - Eltersdorf	0:2 ✺
31.08.21	Eltersdorf - Buchbach	4:2 ✺
27.08.21	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Eltersdorf	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLWWW

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