Match Info

Ykkonen - Championship Group

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: OTC Stadion (Oulu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	OLS		Keski-Uusimaa

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	3.9
	1.77	3.90	3.25
	1.6	4.25	3.85
	1.64	4.64	4.31
	1.75	4.39	3.48	Watch
	1.6	4.55	4.25
	1.68	4.37	4.06
	1.61	4.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.79)	4.31 ↑ (3.85)	3.86 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OLS
55.1%

Draw
21.2%

Keski-Uusimaa
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

23.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

22.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OLS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in OLS's performance.

Keski-Uusimaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OLS than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keski-Uusimaa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

OLS - Keski Uusimaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Pentti J. (G) 54. Aapajarvi A. 46. Ajoung M. 31. Babb M. 40. Korhonen J. 51. Lamsa O. 36. Lotvonen J. 30. Makelainen J. 44. Niemela O. 47. Raittinen E. (C) 83. Teppo L.	56. Tikkanen O. (G) 6. Azemi V. 28. Barraza A. 15. Deng A. 19. Lokake N. 5. Makila R. (C) 9. Minkkinen O. 31. Musa A. 11. Nenonen N. 25. Niemi O. 24. Romppanen S.
Substitutes
26. Eghenolohor J. 57. Fyrsten M. (G) 4. Ilola L. 45. Merikanto E. 19. Omotayo J. 15. Parkkila O. 37. Piirto L. 38. Polvi J. 24. Thomas C. S.	7. Ahmed M. 1. Barton R. (G) 3. Koivunen L. 17. Tiainen S. 4. Vuohtoniemi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Raittinen E. ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Lamsa O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Niemela O. 🟨,
61', Lamsa O. ↓, Thomas C. S. ↑,
61', Nenonen N. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
71', Teppo L. ↓, Merikanto E. ↑,
71', Lotvonen J. ↓, Ilola L. ↑,
77', Romppanen S. ↓, Koivunen L. ↑,
77', Deng A. ↓, Tiainen S. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Merikanto E. ⚽,
85', Barraza A. ↓, Vuohtoniemi M. ↑,
88', Makelainen J. ↓, Piirto L. ↑,
88', Aapajarvi A. ↓, Parkkila O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OLS won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with OLS holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, OLS has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:6 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for OLS against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals (averaging 2:0.3 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	OLS Oulu	25	11	8	6	50:37	13	41
5	Keski-Uusimaa	25	10	8	7	45:37	8	38

Last Results with these Odds

OLS - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 50.02%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OLS Oulu
Finnish Ykkonen
19.09.26	JJK Jyväskylä - OLS	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	RoPS - OLS	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	OLS - Tampere United	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Salon Palloilijat - OLS	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	OLS - RoPS	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTWLT
- Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa
Finnish Ykkonen
19.09.26	Keski-Uusimaa - RoPS	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Tampere United - Keski-Uusimaa	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Tampereen Pallo-Veikot - Keski-Uusimaa	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Keski-Uusimaa - JJK Jyväskylä	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	KuPS Akatemia - Keski-Uusimaa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
18.07.26	Keski-Uusimaa - OLS	1:1
25.04.26	OLS - Keski-Uusimaa	2:0
02.08.25	Keski-Uusimaa - OLS	1:1
18.05.25	OLS - Keski-Uusimaa	3:1
27.07.24	Keski-Uusimaa - OLS	3:0
19.05.24	OLS - Keski-Uusimaa	1:0

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