Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group C

Date: 4 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Heinäpää (Oulu)


	OTP		TP-47

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.62
	4	4.2	1.67
	4.12	4.21	1.65
	4.03	4.18	1.66	Watch
	4	4.2	1.55
	4.18	4.25	1.66
	4.1	4.1	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↓ (4.42)	4.16 ↓ (4.2)	1.63 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OTP
22.4%

Draw
21.9%

TP-47
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

21.9%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

21.7%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OTP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

TP-47 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OTP than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TP-47 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

OTP - TP 47 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. TP-47 will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Espada L. (G) 10. Aallikko J. 8. Adebowale B. 7. Bohui C. 80. Fathi J. 24. Jibrin A. (C) 17. Loikkanen M. 21. Luolavirta N. 3. Meglinski N. 4. Obagbemiro F. 30. Savolainen R.	47. Peltokorpi A. (G) 8. Alamaki J. 7. Eskelinen M. 5. Isokangas J. 11. Koivumies L. 3. Korkeamaki H. 16. Lantto E. 27. Lohela J. 9. Moilanen V. 21. Saloniemi E. 2. Wiena T. (C)
Substitutes
18. Blomster E. 9. Hietala R. 35. Ibiyomi M. 14. Inalli A. 2. Keinanen A. 50. Ntambwe Y. 1. Slewa G. (G)	12. Alavahtola J. 19. Erkinmikko J. 20. Harju E. 1. Karvonen N. (G) 6. Mattinen V. 41. Nousiainen T. (G) 4. Seitamaa J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Moilanen V. (Pen),
18', 0 - 2, Eskelinen M. ⚽,
38', 0 - 3, Wiena T. ⚽,
41', Meglinski N. ↓, Luolavirta N. ↑,
42', Ibiyomi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Espada L. ↓, Slewa G. ↑,
49', 0 - 4, Isokangas J. ⚽,
57', Fathi J. ↓, Keinanen A. ↑,
57', Ibiyomi M. ↓, Blomster E. ↑,
58', 0 - 5, Wiena T. ⚽,
62', 0 - 6, Wiena T. ⚽,
65', Saloniemi E. ↓, Erkinmikko J. ↑,
65', Moilanen V. ↓, Harju E. ↑,
69', Aallikko J. ↓, Inalli A. ↑,
70', Obagbemiro F. 🟨,
75', Lohela J. ↓, Mattinen V. ↑,
75', Lantto E. ↓, Seitamaa J. ↑,
78', 1 - 6, Keinanen A. ⚽,
88', Seitamaa J. 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Kakkonen Group C (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: )).

OTP is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

TP-47 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match TP-47 is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches OTP won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams OTP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oulun Työväen Palloilijat
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
30.06.24	Kuopion Elo - OTP	4:0 ✺
19.06.24	OTP - GBK Kokkola	2:4 ✺
08.06.24	JS Hercules - OTP	1:2 ✺
02.06.24	OTP - SJK Akatemia 2	1:5 ✺
29.05.24	TP-47 - OTP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL
- TP-47
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
30.06.24	TP-47 - SJK Akatemia 2	2:1 ✺
19.06.24	TP-47 - Oulun Palloseura	5:0 ✺
15.06.24	GBK Kokkola - TP-47	2:1 ✺
08.06.24	TP-47 - JPS	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Närpes - TP-47	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
29.05.24	TP-47 - OTP	1:0
16.09.23	OTP - TP-47	2:1
01.07.23	TP-47 - OTP	1:3
30.09.17	TP-47 - OTP	4:0
14.07.17	OTP - TP-47	1:4

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