Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Obermais		Vigasio

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.2	2.48
	2.54	3.26	2.54	Watch
	2.5	3.18	2.51
	2.54	3.2	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.54)	3.21 ↓ (3.43)	2.52 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obermais
35.8%

Draw
28.2%

Vigasio
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

26.3%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.6%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obermais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vigasio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obermais than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigasio than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Obermais - Vigasio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Brusco M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 2 - 0, Bauernfeind K. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent form of Obermais has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vigasio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Obermais won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	FC Obermais	6	1	2	3	6:11	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Obermais
Italian Serie D - Group C
11.01.26	Mestre - Obermais	3:1 ✺
04.01.26	Obermais - Este	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Obermais - San Luigi	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Conegliano - Obermais	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Altavilla - Obermais	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTTL
- AC Vigasio
Italian Serie D - Group C
11.01.26	Vigasio - Treviso	1:3 ✺
04.01.26	Altavilla - Vigasio	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Legnago Salus - Vigasio	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Vigasio - Luparense	5:0 ✺
06.12.25	Brian Lignano - Vigasio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
21.09.25	Vigasio - Obermais	2:1

Obermais - Vigasio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide