Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Zhytomyr)

Referee: Tsibulko E. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Kharkiv		Zorya Luhansk

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.15
	2.29	3.25	3.22
	2.50	3.09	2.99	Watch
	2.23	3.22	3.22	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.5)	3.17 ↑ (3.09)	3.18 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
41.1%

Draw
29.5%

Zorya Luhansk
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

30.6%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

30.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Zorya Luhansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kharkiv will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Varakuta D. (G) 13. Salyuk V. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 31. Shabanov A. (C) 27. Krupskyi I. 25. Lytvynenko I. 11. Churko V. 17. Kogut I. 15. Antyukh D. 72. Zabergja B. 19. Rashica E.	1. Saputin O. (G) 10. Juninho 55. Jordan 5. Janjic A. 47. Vantukh R. 77. Kushnirenko B. 7. Andjusic N. 21. Basic J. 9. Slesar A. 28. Budkivsky P. (C) 6. Popara D.
Substitutes
70. Bagriy I. 2. Kapinus D. 47. Khrunyk I. 44. Kondratiuk D. 88. Korol A. 80. Mba C. 1. Mozil O. (G) 74. Snurnitsyn I.	8. Dryshlyuk K. 4. Eskinja G. 24. Golovkin I. 11. Gorbach I. 31. Kosivskyi V. (G) 23. Malysh N. 20. Matkevych A. 22. Micin P. 36. Ruan Oliveira 19. Salenko R. 12. Turbayevskyi M. (G) 99. Vakula V.
Coaches
Bartulovic M.	Skrypnyk V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Budkivsky P. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Rashica E. (Pen),
34', 1 - 2, Vantukh R. ⚽, Basic J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 3, Slesar A. ⚽, Andjusic N. (A),
62', Kogut I. ↓, Mba C. ↑,
69', Kushnirenko B. 🟨,
73', Salyuk V. 🟨,
82', Andjusic N. 🟨,
88', Slesar A. ↓, Malysh N. ↑,
90+1', Lytvynenko I. 🟨,
90+2', Budkivsky P. ↓, Gorbach I. ↑,
90+6', Andjusic N. ↓, Eskinja G. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).

In recent matches, Metalist 1925 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Zorya is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Metalist 1925 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Metalist 1925 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalist 1925 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.8:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalist 1925 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
03.11.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.25	Kharkiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	4:3 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
25.10.25	Kharkiv - LNZ Cherkasy	0:1 ✺
20.10.25	Kudrivka - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLTT
- Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League
02.11.25	Zorya Luhansk - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Veres Rivne - Zorya Luhansk	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Zorya Luhansk - Dynamo Kyiv	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Zorya Luhansk	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Zorya Luhansk - Obolon	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
31.03.24	Zorya Luhansk - Kharkiv	2:1
15.09.23	Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk	2:1
08.05.23	Zorya Luhansk - Kharkiv	3:0
28.10.22	Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk	0:3
31.10.21	Kharkiv - Zorya Luhansk	1:6

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