Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Zirka Stadium (Kropyvnytsky)

Referee: Yevtukhov D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Poltava		Obolon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.15	2.02
	3.95	3.18	2
	4.71	3.50	1.75	Watch
	4.12	3.32	2.04	Watch
	3	3.05	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (4)	3.24 ↓ (3.26)	2.04 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poltava
24.3%

Draw
29.2%

Obolon
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

27.3%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

24%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Poltava - Obolon Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Poltava will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Obolon will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Poltava (votes: 2 - 50%). Obolon (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Poltava (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Poltava (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Poltava (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Obolon (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Voskonyan V. (G) 2. Kononov M. 5. Pidlepych V. 33. Veremiyenko O. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 44. Plakhtyr D. 20. Misyura Y. 8. Odaryuk V. 99. Khakhlyov O. 19. Buzhyn M. 14. Marusych M.	1. Fedorivsky N. (G) 14. Ilyin O. 50. Semenov D. 3. Pryimak V. 37. Dubko V. 5. Shevchenko Y. 95. Kurko V. 6. Chekh M. 24. Prokopenko Y. 55. Sukhanov S. 9. Ustymenko D.
Substitutes
21. Doroshenko A. 7. Galenkov D. 3. Khodulya I. 1. Minchev M. (G) 11. Onishchenko A. 39. Opanasenko Y. 12. Savenkov A. 96. Yermolov D. (G)	21. Bychek K. 35. Chebotaryov V. (G) 17. Chernenko R. 28. Chornyi A. 22. Feshchenko O. 11. Grysyo M. 8. Kulakovskyi A. 32. Lomnytskyi A. 42. Pasich Y. 69. Tovarchi O.
Coaches
Matviychenko P.	Antonenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Buzhyn M. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Sukhanov S. ⚽, Prokopenko Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Sukhanov S. (Pen),
62', Ustymenko D. ↓, Bychek K. ↑,
71', Sukhanov S. ↓, Tovarchi O. ↑,
73', Kotsyumaka I. ↓, Galenkov D. ↑,
73', Misyura Y. ↓, Onishchenko A. ↑,
73', Khakhlyov O. ↓, Doroshenko A. ↑,
83', Marusych M. 🟨,
86', Prokopenko Y. ↓, Chernenko R. ↑,
86', Kurko V. ↓, Lomnytskyi A. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Marusych M. (Pen),

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 10).

Poltava is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Obolon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Poltava has had a series of away games.

Obolon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Poltava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Poltava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League
04.10.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Poltava	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Oleksandriya - Poltava	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Poltava - Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
18.09.25	Nyva Ternopil - Poltava	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
14.09.25	Karpaty Lviv - Poltava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLLT
- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
04.10.25	Obolon - Veres Rivne	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Zorya Luhansk - Obolon	0:0 ✺
22.09.25	Obolon - Karpaty Lviv	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Obolon - Dynamo Kyiv	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Kryvbas - Obolon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.10.22	Poltava - Obolon	2:1
03.09.22	Obolon - Poltava	2:1

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