Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday

Location: Obolon Arena (Kyiv)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
International	OneFootball TV


	Obolon		Veres Rivne

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.10	2.30
	3.25	2.85	2.3
	3.46	3	2.43
	3.07	3.36	2.36	Watch
	3.4	2.7	2.4
	3.15	3.05	2.36	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.67)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	2.35 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obolon
28.8%

Draw
31.3%

Veres Rivne
39.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.6%

29.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

30.3%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obolon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Obolon's form might have worsened.

Veres Rivne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Veres Rivne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obolon than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Obolon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Veres Rivne than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Veres Rivne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Obolon - Veres Rivne Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Veres will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fedorivsky N. (C) 28. Polegenko P. 30. Prokopchuk K. 32. Lomnytskyi A. 5. Shevchenko Y. 14. Shulyanskyi A. 8. Kulakovskyi A. 6. Chekh M. 7. Matkevych A. 90. Lyakh T. 55. Sukhanov S.	91. Gorokh V. (G) 17. Protasevych M. 4. Cipot K. 3. Vovchenko S. 2. Smiyan M. 14. Kharatin I. 44. Checher D. 19. Goncalves A. 77. Sharay V. 7. Yan F. 11. Wesley Pomba
Substitutes
. Beba V. 22. Feshchenko O. 2. Kapinus D. 13. Medynskyi I. 4. Moroz T. 15. Myshnyov D. 24. Prokopenko Y. 78. Skrygun V. 10. Slobodyan O. 9. Ustymenko D. 36. Vorobyov N. (G) 3. Yermakov V.	53. Andrey 5. Bagriy P. 80. de Jesus Lima G. 27. Migutskyi S. 6. Niyo D. 99. Samkov V. (G) 25. Sanotskyi I. 22. Stamoulis K. 1. Stefanyuk P. (G) 20. Wally A.
Coaches
Antonenko O.	Shandruk O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Checher D. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Kulakovskyi A. ⚽, Lomnytskyi A. (A),
43', Lyakh T. ↓, Ustymenko D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Protasevych M. ↓, Stamoulis K. ↑,
46', Checher D. ↓, Niyo D. ↑,
54', Niyo D. 🟥,
62', Sukhanov S. ↓, Volokhatyi R. ↑,
62', Shulyanskyi A. ↓, Kapinus D. ↑,
63', Sukhanov S. 🟨,
66', Polegenko P. 🟨,
72', Goncalves A. ↓, de Jesus Lima G. ↑,
80', Sharay V. ↓, Wally A. ↑,
80', Matkevych A. ↓, Medynskyi I. ↑,
80', Chekh M. ↓, Yermakov V. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Medynskyi I. ⚽, Fedorivsky N. (A),

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th in the Relegation - Persha Liga and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Obolon won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Obolon (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Veres have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Obolon could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Obolon has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Obolon has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:14 (averaging 0.6:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Obolon against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:5 goals (averaging 0.5:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Veres-Rivne	9	2	3	4	6:11	-5	9
13	Obolon	8	1	4	3	4:12	-8	7

Last Results with these Odds

Obolon - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 35.6%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Veres Rivne - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 34.69%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obolon Kyiv
Ukrainian Premier League
18.09.26	Chornomorets Odesa - Obolon	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Obolon	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kharkiv - Obolon	5:0 ✺
28.08.26	Kolos Kovalivka - Obolon	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	Karpaty Lviv - Obolon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLTL
- Veres Rivne
Ukrainian Premier League
09.10.26	Veres Rivne - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3 ✺
03.10.26	Veres Rivne - Kudrivka	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Karpaty Lviv - Veres Rivne	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
16.09.26	Kulykiv-Bilka - Veres Rivne	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
06.09.26	Veres Rivne - Zorya Luhansk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
11.04.26	Veres Rivne - Obolon	2:0
04.10.25	Obolon - Veres Rivne	1:1
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Obolon - Veres Rivne	3:0
19.07.25	Obolon - Veres Rivne	0:1
Ukrainian Premier League
03.05.25	Veres Rivne - Obolon	0:2
04.11.24	Obolon - Veres Rivne	0:0
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.24	Veres Rivne - Obolon	2:1 ET

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