Match Info

NORWAY: Eliteserien - Round 8

Date: 16 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Skagerak Arena (Skien)

Referee: Hansen T. (Nor)


	Odd		Molde

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.7	Watch
	4.6	4.1	1.65
	4.5	4.33	1.7	Watch
	4.43	4.4	1.71
	4.34	4.39	1.73
	4.6	4.33	1.53
	4.92	4.25	1.68	Watch
	4.8	4.2	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↓ (4.99)	4.25 ↑ (4.18)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odd
20.7%

Draw
22.3%

Molde
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

22.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

21.9%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odd than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	6.7%	73.3%

Odd - Molde Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Odd will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Molde will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hansen A. (C) 2. Ruud E. 14. Ivancevic M. 5. Miettinen T. 3. Baccay J. 7. Jorgensen F. 8. Hussain E. 6. Svendsen T. 10. Ingebrigtsen M. 24. Njie B. 29. Bang-Kittilsen B.	22. Posiadala A. (G) 26. Amundsen I. 3. Oyvann C. 25. Hagelskjaer A. 18. Stenevik H. 15. Kaasa M. 16. Breivik E. 20. Eriksen K. 31. Lovik M. 7. Eikrem M. (C) 8. Gulbrandsen F.
Substitutes
18. Aas S. 16. Glenna C. 27. Hagen O. 30. Klausen P. (G) 9. Midtskogen O. 20. Rekdal T. 26. Skau J. 13. Skjeldal S. 11. Tewelde F.	23. Granaas S. 19. Haugan E. 5. Hestad E. 1. Karlstrom J. (G) 11. Olanare A. 6. Roaldsoy A.
Coaches
Dokken K.	Moe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Eikrem M. ⚽, Gulbrandsen F. (A),
30', Miettinen T. 🟥,
32', 0 - 2, Eikrem M. ⚽,
34', Bang-Kittilsen B. ↓, Skau J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Amundsen I. 🟨,
61', Skau J. 🟨,
61', Ruud E. ↓, Skjeldal S. ↑,
61', Svendsen T. ↓, Midtskogen O. ↑,
62', Hussain E. 🟨,
64', Eikrem M. ↓, Hestad E. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Lovik M. ⚽, Hestad E. (A),
78', Gulbrandsen F. ↓, Olanare A. ↑,
78', Kaasa M. ↓, Granaas S. ↑,
79', Hussain E. ↓, Rekdal T. ↑,
79', Ingebrigtsen M. ↓, Tewelde F. ↑,
81', 0 - 4, Olanare A. ⚽, Granaas S. (A),
86', Eriksen K. ↓, Roaldsoy A. ↑,
86', Breivik E. ↓, Haugan E. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Odd won 3.

Odd is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Molde is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Odd could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Molde is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Odd won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 27-45.

Including matches at home between the teams Odd won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odds BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
12.05.24	Tromsø - Odd	4:0 ✺
05.05.24	Odd - Fredrikstad	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Sandnes Ulf - Odd	5:4 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.04.24	Odd - Viking Stavanger	3:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Pors - Odd	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLTW
- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
11.05.24	Molde - Rosenborg	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
08.05.24	Molde - Sarpsborg 08	4:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.05.24	Sandefjord - Molde	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Hødd - Molde	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.04.24	Molde - Haugesund	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
17.04.24	Molde - Odd	1:2
16.09.23	Molde - Odd	4:1
11.06.23	Odd - Molde	1:0
Club Friendly
09.02.23	Molde - Odd	3:4
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.06.22	Odd - Molde	1:2
11.05.22	Molde - Odd	3:0
Norwegian NM Cup
13.03.22	Molde - Odd	3:2 ET

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