Match Info

NORWAY: Eliteserien - Round 6

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Skagerak Arena (Skien)

Referee: Sinnes S. T. (Nor)


	Odd		Fredrikstad

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.3	Watch
	3	3.3	2.3
	3.1	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.62	3.65	2.71
	3.2	3.32	2.38
	2.62	3.5	2.3
	3.15	3.4	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.32)	3.39 ↓ (3.49)	2.36 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Odd
31.8%

Draw
28%

Fredrikstad
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

26.9%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

27.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Odd's form might have worsened.

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fredrikstad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odd than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Odd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fredrikstad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Odd - Fredrikstad Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Odd will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Odd: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Klausen P. (G) 13. Skjeldal S. 5. Miettinen T. 3. Baccay J. 7. Jorgensen F. 8. Hussain E. (C) 6. Svendsen T. 17. Owusu S. 10. Ingebrigtsen M. 11. Tewelde F. 24. Njie B.	30. Fischer J. (G) 6. Aukland P. 17. Kvile S. 22. Woledzi M. 7. Hendriksson B. 13. Sorlokk S. 19. Magnusson J. (C) 12. Metcalfe P. 5. Rafn S. 20. Kjaer J. 29. Aga O.
Substitutes
18. Aas S. 25. Ambrose G. 16. Glenna C. 27. Hagen O. 1. Hansen A. (G) 12. Hansen S. (G) 9. Midtskogen O. 20. Rekdal T. 26. Skau J.	18. Begby L. 14. Bjartalid J. 10. Bjorlo M. 9. Johansen H. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 4. Molde S. 26. Nielsen M. 23. Segberg E. 3. Skaret B.
Coaches
Dokken K.	Thomassen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Svendsen T. ↓, Aas S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', Kjaer J. ↓, Bjorlo M. ↑,
74', Aukland P. 🟨,
77', Aukland P. ↓, Skaret B. ↑,
77', Metcalfe P. ↓, Begby L. ↑,
78', Hendriksson B. ↓, Segberg E. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Bjorlo M. ⚽,
80', Aas S. ↓, Midtskogen O. ↑,
86', Aga O. ↓, Bjartalid J. ↑,
88', Baccay J. ↓, Skau J. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Sorlokk S. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Odd won 4.

Recent matches Odd is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fredrikstad is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Odd have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Odd won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Odd won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odds BK
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Sandnes Ulf - Odd	5:4 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.04.24	Odd - Viking Stavanger	3:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.24	Pors - Odd	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.04.24	Brann - Odd	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Molde - Odd	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTWLW
- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian NM Cup
01.05.24	Fredrikstad - Rosenborg	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.04.24	Fredrikstad - Sandefjord	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
25.04.24	Eik-Tønsberg - Fredrikstad	2:5 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.04.24	Viking Stavanger - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.04.22	Fredrikstad - Odd	0:2
27.07.19	Odd - Fredrikstad	2:1
Norwegian NM Cup
02.05.18	Fredrikstad - Odd	1:3
Club Friendly
19.02.14	Odd - Fredrikstad	5:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
02.11.12	Fredrikstad - Odd	4:2
22.04.12	Odd - Fredrikstad	1:1

Upcoming Matches