Match Info

NORWAY: Eliteserien - Round 20

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Skagerak Arena (Skien)

Referee: Sinnes S. T. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport, TV2, TV2 Play
World	Onefootball app


	Odd		Rosenborg

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.7	1.95
	3.6	3.75	2	Watch
	3.73	3.89	2
	3.64	3.84	1.94	Watch
	3.4	3.75	1.85
	3.63	3.89	1.94
	3.6	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.88)	3.77 ↑ (3.65)	1.95 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odd
26.4%

Draw
25.1%

Rosenborg
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

26%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

26.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Odd's form might have worsened.

Rosenborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosenborg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odd than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Odd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosenborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	15.4%	69.2%

Odd - Rosenborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Odd will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Rosenborg will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenborg: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Haug K. (G) 21. Hagen S. 14. Sinyan S. 3. Baccay J. 2. Ruud E. 7. Jorgensen F. 8. Hussain E. 18. Aas S. 13. Skjeldal S. 10. Ingebrigtsen M. 19. Borven T.	1. Tangvik S. (G) 20. Tagseth E. 38. Konradsen Ceide M. 21. Nemcik T. 19. Pereira A. 6. Vaananen S. 10. Selnaes O. 41. Nypan S. 39. Broholm M. 18. Holm N. 45. Reitan-Sunde J.
Substitutes
29. Bang-Kittilsen B. 16. Glenna C. 4. Hien L. 30. Klausen P. (G) 9. Midtskogen O. 24. Njie B. 20. Rekdal T. 15. Solholm S. 6. Svendsen T.	25. Andersson A. 8. Borkeeiet T. 35. Ceide E. K. 14. Frederiksen E. 44. Holte M. 11. Nelson J. 4. Racic L. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 5. Zeidan M.
Coaches
Dokken K.	Johansson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Ruud E. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Holm N. ⚽, Nypan S. (A),
40', Pereira A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Pereira A. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Borven T. ⚽,
60', Andersson A. 🟨,
63', Holm N. ↓, Ceide E. K. ↑,
63', Ruud E. ↓, Hien L. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Broholm M. ⚽, Ceide E. K. (A),
76', Aas S. ↓, Bang-Kittilsen B. ↑,
83', Jorgensen F. ↓, Midtskogen O. ↑,
83', Baccay J. ↓, Svendsen T. ↑,
85', 1 - 3, Broholm M. ⚽, Ceide E. K. (A),
90+1', Reitan-Sunde J. ↓, Racic L. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Odd won 0.

Odd is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rosenborg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rosenborg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rosenborg will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Odd: Mugeese Z. (Injury)

There will not play in Rosenborg: Augustinsson J. (Injury) Henriksen M. (Injury) Reitan E. (Injury) Sahsah N. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Odd won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 24-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Odd won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odds BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.08.24	Hamarkameratene - Odd	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	Odd - Sarpsborg 08	1:1 ✺
28.07.24	Odd - Strømsgodset	2:0 ✺
19.07.24	Bodø Glimt - Odd	3:1 ✺
13.07.24	Odd - Hamarkameratene	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWLL
- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.08.24	Rosenborg - Lillestrøm SK	4:0 ✺
18.08.24	Rosenborg - Viking Stavanger	2:1 ✺
11.08.24	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Rosenborg	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	Rosenborg - Tromsø	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Fredrikstad - Rosenborg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
07.07.24	Rosenborg - Odd	2:1
30.07.23	Rosenborg - Odd	3:2
30.04.23	Odd - Rosenborg	0:0
30.07.22	Odd - Rosenborg	2:3
10.04.22	Rosenborg - Odd	1:0
22.08.21	Rosenborg - Odd	5:0
04.07.21	Odd - Rosenborg	2:2

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