Match Info

NORWAY: Eliteserien - Round 18

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Skagerak Arena (Skien)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
World	Onefootball app


	Odd		Sarpsborg 08

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.75	2.3	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.35
	2.9	3.75	2.35	Watch
	2.57	4	2.54
	2.79	3.78	2.34	Watch
	2.62	3.75	2.2
	2.79	3.87	2.33	Watch
	2.9	3.75	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.42)	3.78 ↑ (3.77)	2.35 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Odd
34.5%

Draw
25.1%

Sarpsborg 08
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

24.9%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Odd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odd than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	23.5%	41.2%

Odd - Sarpsborg 08 Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Odd will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarpsborg: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hansen A. (G) 17. Owusu S. 21. Hagen S. (C) 14. Sinyan S. 2. Ruud E. 7. Jorgensen F. 8. Hussain E. 6. Svendsen T. 13. Skjeldal S. 10. Ingebrigtsen M. 9. Midtskogen O.	13. Eriksson C. (G) 72. Christiansen S. 2. Koch M. 30. Tebo Uchenna F. 17. Hiim A. 6. Sher A. 10. Sanyang A. 16. Carstensen F. 14. Berget J. (C) 27. Orjasaeter S. 19. Meister H.
Substitutes
18. Aas S. 25. Ambrose G. 3. Baccay J. 29. Bang-Kittilsen B. 19. Borven T. 30. Klausen P. (G) 5. Miettinen T. 24. Njie B. 20. Rekdal T.	25. Gregersen J. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 26. Job D. 18. Ngouali S. 40. Oy L. (G) 20. Reinhardsen P. 23. Sandberg N. 3. Skipper A. 32. Wichne E.
Coaches
Dokken K.	Michelsen C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Koch M. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Ingebrigtsen M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Jorgensen F. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Christiansen S. ⚽, Hiim A. (A),
64', Midtskogen O. ↓, Borven T. ↑,
73', Christiansen S. ↓, Wichne E. ↑,
75', Owusu S. ↓, Miettinen T. ↑,
76', Hagen S. ↓, Baccay J. ↑,
84', Skjeldal S. ↓, Njie B. ↑,
84', Svendsen T. ↓, Aas S. ↑,
84', Johansen S. ↓, Ngouali S. ↑,
84', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Job D. ↑,
90+2', Miettinen T. 🟨,
90+3', Carstensen F. ↓, Sandberg N. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Odd won 1.

Odd is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sarpsborg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Odd could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Odd: Mugeese Z. (Injury)

There will not play in Sarpsborg: Odegaard M. (Injury) Tibbling S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Odd: Hien L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Sandberg N. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Odd won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Odd won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Odds BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.07.24	Odd - Strømsgodset	2:0 ✺
19.07.24	Bodø Glimt - Odd	3:1 ✺
13.07.24	Odd - Hamarkameratene	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Rosenborg - Odd	2:1 ✺
28.06.24	Odd - Kristiansund	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLT
- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien
04.08.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Sandefjord	2:1 ✺
28.07.24	Lillestrøm SK - Sarpsborg 08	2:2 ✺
20.07.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Brann	1:1 ✺
12.07.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg	4:1 ✺
07.07.24	Haugesund - Sarpsborg 08	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
07.04.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Odd	0:1
19.08.23	Odd - Sarpsborg 08	0:3
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Odd	3:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.04.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Odd	0:0
Club Friendly
26.02.23	Odd - Sarpsborg 08	1:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.08.22	Odd - Sarpsborg 08	1:0
07.05.22	Sarpsborg 08 - Odd	1:0

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