Match Info

Superettan - Round 25

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Rimnersvallen (Uddevalla)

Referee: Nehdi F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Oddevold		Värnamo

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.30	2.80
	2.15	3.50	2.87
	2.12	3.40	2.95
	2.29	3.67	3.04
	2.27	3.5	2.96	Watch
	2.25	3.60	2.95
	2.26	3.47	2.94	Watch
	2.19	3.45	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.15)	3.49 ↑ (3.35)	2.91 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oddevold
41.8%

Draw
26.5%

Värnamo
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27.3%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.4%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oddevold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oddevold than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Oddevold - Värnamo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Saetra M. (G) 6. Merbom Adolfsoon J. 22. Cotton O. 24. Bahno M. 19. Engstrom H. 14. Sandberg G. (C) 15. Forsberg E. 11. Krezic D. 17. Kjellman Olblad O. 10. Shahin L. 8. Iglicar Berntsson O.	1. Keto H. (G) 18. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 16. Ravik Z. 2. Rapp J. 3. Bjornstrom A. 10. Claesson V. (C) 26. Johansson C. 11. Ljungberg A. 33. Akinfenwa M. 14. Antonsson M. 9. Meriluoto K.
Substitutes
23. Bitiqi A. 20. Engelbrektsson A. 18. Forssell G. 13. Gono E. 33. Jarlesand F. (G) 26. Lantz F. 25. Nikko J. 21. Thoreson O. 9. Vikstrom R.	8. Andersson H. 19. Freij E. 13. Jansson S. 7. Johansson C. 24. Kamara M. 4. Ohlsson S. 39. Selin L. (G)
Coaches
Nilsson R.	Bergstrand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Bahno M. ↓, Thoreson O. ↑,
23', 0 - 1, Claesson V. ⚽, Antonsson M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, Antonsson M. ⚽,
56', Krezic D. ↓, Bitiqi A. ↑,
56', Kjellman Olblad O. ↓, Lantz F. ↑,
57', Claesson V. ↓, Jansson S. ↑,
64', Akinfenwa M. ↓, Johansson C. ↑,
64', Ljungberg A. ↓, Andersson H. ↑,
68', Iglicar Berntsson O. ↓, Forssell G. ↑,
68', Engstrom H. ↓, Engelbrektsson A. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Motaraghebjafarpour A. (Own goal),
90', Meriluoto K. ↓, Ohlsson S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th and 11th).

Oddevold has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Värnamo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Oddevold holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Oddevold has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Oddevold against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Oddevold	25	9	9	7	38:34	4	36
11	Varnamo	25	8	5	12	33:45	-12	29

Last Results with these Odds

Värnamo - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.08%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Oddevold
Swedish Superettan
13.09.26	Norrköping - Oddevold	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Sandviken - Oddevold	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Oddevold - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Varbergs BoIS - Oddevold	3:1 ✺
23.08.26	Oddevold - Helsingborg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWLW
- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Superettan
15.09.26	Värnamo - Öster	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	United Nordic - Värnamo	2:4 ✺
05.09.26	Värnamo - Varbergs BoIS	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ljungskile - Värnamo	0:1 ✺
24.08.26	Värnamo - Landskrona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
26.04.26	Värnamo - Oddevold	3:1
Swedish Division 1 Södra
31.08.19	Värnamo - Oddevold	1:0
24.06.19	Oddevold - Värnamo	3:1

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