The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oita Trinita 27.5%
Draw 31.5%
Shonan Bellmare 41%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.2%
30.9%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
21.5%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oita Trinita's form might have worsened.
Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shonan Bellmare's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shonan Bellmare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
30%
53.3%
Oita Trinita - Shonan Bellmare Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Oita Trinita will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 16 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shonan Bellmare: 35.4% – 71.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 15).
Oita Trinita has the most likely position - 20 (40.55%), has project points - 27, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Shonan Bellmare has the most likely position - 15 (28.63%), has project points - 40, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Oita Trinita is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Shonan Bellmare is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Oita Trinita won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.
Watch
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