The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Thespakusatsu Gunma 24.6%
Draw 28.8%
Oita Trinita 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
28.7%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
28.9%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thespakusatsu Gunma's form might have worsened.
Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oita Trinita's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thespakusatsu Gunma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oita Trinita, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.7%
15.4%
76.9%
Thespakusatsu Gunma - Oita Trinita Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Oita Trinita will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oita Trinita: 54% โ 99.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
42. Ishii R. (G) 3. Ohata R. 2. Shirowa H. 36. Nakashio D. 29. Tagashira R. 6. Amagasa T. 15. Kazama K. 5. Kawakami C. 10. Sato R. 8. Takazawa Y. 23. Hiramatsu S.
32. Hamada T. (G) 18. Nodake J. 25. Ando T. 34. Fujiwara Y. 2. Kagawa Y. 6. Yumiba M. 19. Kozakai A. 27. Matsuo Y. 5. Nakagawa H. 29. Utsumoto S. 13. Isa K.
Substitutes
41. Einaga T. 13. Issei K. (G) 40. Sagawa K. 24. Sakai S. 22. Takahashi Y. 7. Wada M. 17. Yamanaka A.
3. Derlan 93. Nagasawa S. 24. Nishikawa K. (G) 4. Satsukawa A. 39. Udo S. 11. Watanabe A. 26. Yasuda K.
Coaches
Otsuki T.
Katanosaka T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Ohata R. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Amagasa T. 🟨,
60', Amagasa T. ↓, Takahashi Y. ↑,
60', Hiramatsu S. ↓, Sagawa K. ↑,
62', Nakagawa H. ↓, Watanabe A. ↑,
62', Isa K. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
67', Takazawa Y. ↓, Wada M. ↑,
71', Nodake J. ↓, Udo S. ↑,
71', Utsumoto S. ↓, Satsukawa A. ↑,
73', Nakashio D. 🟨,
83', Tagashira R. ↓, Yamanaka A. ↑,
83', Sato R. ↓, Einaga T. ↑,
88', Matsuo Y. ↓, Derlan ↑,
90+2', 0 - 2, Watanabe A. ⚽, Udo S. (A),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 0.
Thespakusatsu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Oita Trinita is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Oita Trinita will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 7-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Thespakusatsu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.
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Ishii R. (G) 
Derlan 
