The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 57.4%
Draw 26.4%
Oita Trinita 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64%
22.6%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
13.9%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sanfrecce Hiroshima's form might have worsened.
Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (-18.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sanfrecce Hiroshima that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oita Trinita could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
15.4%
23.1%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Oita Trinita Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Oita Trinita will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 42.8% – 80.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
Hiroshima has the most likely position - 10 (16.7%), has project points - 50, has currently - 32, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Oita Trinita has the most likely position - 20 (36.27%), has project points - 28, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Both teams are in bad shape now.
Hiroshima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Hiroshima is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Hiroshima won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Hiroshima won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
Watch
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