Match Info

Date: 10 July 2021, Saturday


	Oita Trinita		Urawa Red Diamonds

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.9	Watch
	3.7	3.25	1.91
	3.9	3.35	1.9	Watch
	4.5	3.15	1.85
	4.36	3.55	1.93
	4.2	3.2	1.91
	4.4	3.28	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.64)	3.31 ↓ (3.32)	1.9 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oita Trinita
22.6%

Draw
28.3%

Urawa Red Diamonds
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

28.2%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

21.6%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Urawa Red Diamonds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.1%	14.5%	75.4%

Oita Trinita - Urawa Red Diamonds Predictions

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Oita Trinita will win (votes: 7 - 10.1%). Urawa will win (votes: 52 - 75.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 65.2% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 5).

Oita Trinita has the most likely position - 19 (49.87%), has project points - 28, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Urawa has the most likely position - 7 (13.37%), has project points - 59, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of qualify for acl (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Oita Trinita is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Urawa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Urawa is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Oita Trinita won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oita Trinita
Japan Emperors Cup
07.07.21	Oita Trinita - Fukui United	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
04.07.21	Shimizu S-Pulse - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
27.06.21	Tokyo - Oita Trinita	3:0 ✺
23.06.21	Oita Trinita - Kashima Antlers	0:0 ✺
19.06.21	Consadole Sapporo - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLTL
- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan Emperors Cup
07.07.21	Urawa Red Diamonds - Sagamihara	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
03.07.21	Vegalta Sendai - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0 ✺
27.06.21	Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0 ✺
23.06.21	Kashiwa Reysol - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
20.06.21	Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
25.04.21	Urawa Red Diamonds - Oita Trinita	3:2
31.10.20	Oita Trinita - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0
29.08.20	Urawa Red Diamonds - Oita Trinita	2:1
18.10.19	Urawa Red Diamonds - Oita Trinita	0:1
30.06.19	Oita Trinita - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:0
17.08.13	Urawa Red Diamonds - Oita Trinita	4:3
16.03.13	Oita Trinita - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:2

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