Match Info

J1 League - Round 23

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Saitama Stadium (Saitama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Urawa Red Diamonds		Avispa Fukuoka

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.8	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.4
	1.97	3.21	3.8	Watch
	2.02	3.43	4.12
	2.05	3.19	3.81	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	1.98	3.36	4.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.48)	3.26 ↑ (3.16)	3.77 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Urawa Red Diamonds
46.2%

Draw
28.9%

Avispa Fukuoka
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30.1%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

31.6%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Urawa Red Diamonds's performance.

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avispa Fukuoka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Urawa Red Diamonds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avispa Fukuoka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	21.7%	13%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Avispa Fukuoka (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Urawa Red Diamonds will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Urawa (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 4. Ishihara H. 3. Danilo Boza 5. Hoibraaten M. 88. Naganuma Y. 25. Yasui K. 11. Gustafson S. 77. Kaneko T. 24. Matsuo Y. 8. Matheus Savio 12. Thiago	24. Obata Y. (G) 5. Kamijima T. 3. Nara T. 20. Ando T. 2. Yuzawa M. 88. Matsuoka D. 6. Shigemi M. 18. Iwasaki Y. 8. Konno K. 14. Nago S. 27. Usui S.
Substitutes
9. Haraguchi G. 35. Inoue R. 17. Komori H. 6. Matsumoto T. 10. Nakajima S. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 26. Ogiwara T. 21. Okubo T. 14. Sekine T.	15. Akino H. 13. Ben Khalifa N. 22. Fujimoto K. 47. Hashimoto Y. 7. Kanamori T. 19. Kim M. 29. Maejima Y. 31. Murakami M. (G) 17. Wellington
Coaches
Skorza M.	Kim Myong-hwi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Usui S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
58', Yuzawa M. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
63', Thiago ↓, Komori H. ↑,
63', Kaneko T. ↓, Sekine T. ↑,
81', Konno K. ↓, Ben Khalifa N. ↑,
82', Matsuoka D. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
82', Matheus Savio ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
82', Matsuo Y. ↓, Okubo T. ↑,
88', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
90', Yasui K. ↓, Nakajima S. ↑,
90+7', Ishihara H. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 1.

Urawa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Avispa Fukuoka is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of home games.

Urawa could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Urawa: Shibato K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Ikeda J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Urawa: Watanabe R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Avispa Fukuoka: Shichi T. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Urawa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Urawa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Urawa Red Diamonds - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38.34%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
23.07.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare	4:1 ✺
19.07.25	Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:2 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
25.06.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Monterrey	0:4 ✺
21.06.25	Inter Milan - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	River Plate - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL
- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
21.07.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
16.07.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
28.06.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Vissel Kobe	0:0 ✺
21.06.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Albirex Niigata	3:2 ✺
15.06.25	Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.04.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0
30.11.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0
30.03.24	Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1
25.11.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka	2:3
Japan J League Cup
04.11.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1
Japan J1 League
20.05.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0
05.11.22	Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka	1:1

Upcoming Matches