Match Info

J2 League - Round 33

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Resonac Dome Oita (Oita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Oita Trinita		Vegalta Sendai

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.3	1.86	Watch
				Watch
	3.95	3.1	1.92
	4.41	3.34	1.94
	4.06	3.25	1.94	Watch
	4.11	3.31	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.5)	3.26 ↑ (3.14)	1.91 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oita Trinita
22.6%

Draw
28.6%

Vegalta Sendai
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

29.6%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

29.3%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Vegalta Sendai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Oita Trinita - Vegalta Sendai Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Oita Trinita will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Sendai will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sendai (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 31. Matheus Pereira 2. Okamoto T. 3. Derlan 16. Shige T. 18. Nodake J. 25. Sakakibara K. 6. Misao Y. 38. Amagasa T. 14. Ikeda R. 11. Gleyson	33. Hayashi A. (G) 25. Mase T. 5. Sugata M. 19. Mateus Moraes 39. Ishio R. 11. Goke Y. 8. Takeda H. 10. Kamada H. 14. Sagara R. 47. Araki S. 99. Miyazaki K.
Substitutes
21. Ayukawa S. 32. Hamada T. (G) 13. Isa K. 10. Nomura N. 8. Ochiai R. 4. Satsukawa A. 30. Tone I. 39. Udo S. 29. Utsumoto S.	9. Eron 1. Hotta D. (G) 17. Kudo A. 6. Matsui R. 48. Nakada Y. 3. Okuyama M. 2. Takada R. 32. Yamauchi H. 40. Yasuno T.
Coaches
Takenaka M.	Moriyama Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Gleyson 🟥,
64', Ikeda R. ↓, Isa K. ↑,
67', Miyazaki K. ↓, Yamauchi H. ↑,
77', Shige T. ↓, Utsumoto S. ↑,
77', Sakakibara K. ↓, Satsukawa A. ↑,
77', Amagasa T. ↓, Nomura N. ↑,
81', Araki S. ↓, Nakada Y. ↑,
89', Takeda H. ↓, Yasuno T. ↑,
90+4', Nodake J. ↓, Ochiai R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Oita Trinita may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sendai could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Oita Trinita won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 League
05.10.25	Blaublitz Akita - Oita Trinita	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Oita Trinita - Ehime	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Fujieda MYFC - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Oita Trinita - Júbilo Iwata	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWTT
- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 League
04.10.25	Vegalta Sendai - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Consadole Sapporo - Vegalta Sendai	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Vegalta Sendai - Montedio Yamagata	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Vegalta Sendai - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Ehime - Vegalta Sendai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
28.02.25	Vegalta Sendai - Oita Trinita	2:0
10.11.24	Vegalta Sendai - Oita Trinita	2:1
25.02.24	Oita Trinita - Vegalta Sendai	1:1
26.08.23	Oita Trinita - Vegalta Sendai	2:3
29.04.23	Vegalta Sendai - Oita Trinita	1:0
10.09.22	Oita Trinita - Vegalta Sendai	1:0
30.03.22	Vegalta Sendai - Oita Trinita	1:3

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