The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oita Trinita 30.6%
Draw 29.4%
Júbilo Iwata 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.1%
28.2%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.9%
27.1%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
14.3%
57.1%
Oita Trinita - Júbilo Iwata Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Oita Trinita will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Iwata will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Iwata (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.25 - Iwata (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Iwata (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Hamada T. (G) 31. Matheus Pereira 34. Fujiwara Y. 3. Derlan 44. Yoshida M. 5. Nakagawa H. 25. Sakakibara K. 6. Misao Y. 8. Ochiai R. 38. Amagasa T. 11. Gleyson
21. Miura R. (G) 8. Tameda H. 5. Ezaki T. 36. Ricardo Graca 4. Matsubara K. 18. Inoue S. 7. Uehara R. 16. Gustavo Silva 39. Sumi K. 9. Watanabe R. 71. Masui K.
Substitutes
21. Ayukawa S. 13. Isa K. 19. Kozakai A. 22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 18. Nodake J. 16. Shige T. 30. Tone I. 29. Utsumoto S. 15. Yashiki Y.
79. Browne N. 6. Kaneko D. 38. Kawaguchi N. 33. Kawai T. 1. Kawashima E. (G) 11. Matheus Peixoto 3. Morioka R. 20. Sato R. 52. Van den Bergh J.
Coaches
Takenaka M.
Hutchinson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Yoshida M. 🟨,
36', Gleyson 🟨,
39', Ochiai R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Inoue S. ↓, Kaneko D. ↑,
66', Watanabe R. ↓, Matheus Peixoto ↑,
71', Derlan 🟨,
79', Nakagawa H. 🟨,
79', Yoshida M. ↓, Shige T. ↑,
79', Ochiai R. ↓, Kozakai A. ↑,
80', Tameda H. ↓, Kawaguchi N. ↑,
80', Gustavo Silva ↓, Sato R. ↑,
87', Sumi K. ↓, Browne N. ↑,
89', Nakagawa H. ↓, Yashiki Y. ↑,
90', Misao Y. ↓, Utsumoto S. ↑,
90+1', Gleyson ↓, Isa K. ↑,
90+5', Isa K. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 3.
Oita Trinita has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Iwata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Iwata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Iwata might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Oita Trinita won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
Japan
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Hamada T. (G) 
Matheus Pereira 
Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 
Van den Bergh J. 
Hutchinson J. 
