Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 10

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Resonac Dome Oita (Oita)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Oita Trinita		Renofa Yamaguchi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3	2.78	Watch
	2.48	3.23	2.74
	2.34	3.22	3.01	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.46	3.32	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.41)	3.17 ↑ (3)	2.8 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oita Trinita
38.4%

Draw
28.9%

Renofa Yamaguchi
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

30.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oita Trinita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oita Trinita will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mun Kyung-Gun (G) 2. Okamoto T. 31. Matheus Pereira 6. Misao Y. 7. Yoshida M. 72. Yamaguchi T. 8. Sakakibara K. 14. Utsumoto S. 20. Kimoto T. 37. Kimoto M. 17. Kim Hyun-woo	41. Iida M. (G) 38. Tadokoro R. 5. Yoshioka K. 3. Oiwa K. 17. Tanabe K. 7. Misawa N. 6. Wakasa Y. 2. Ozawa R. 4. Nakashima K. 34. Furukawa D. 11. Fujioka K.
Substitutes
9. Arima K. 13. Isa K. 19. Kozakai A. 27. Matsuo Y. 33. Miyakawa A. 18. Nodake J. 1. Tanaka Y. (G) 30. Tone I. 21. Udo S.	25. Fujimori S. 16. Itohara K. (G) 28. Kobayashi S. 49. Mineda Y. 40. Naruoka H. 36. Nishido H. 8. Noyori K. 20. Suenaga T. 19. Yamamoto S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', Yoshioka K. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Tadokoro R. (Own goal),
34', 1 - 1, Fujioka K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Kimoto M. ↓, Arima K. ↑,
64', Fujioka K. ↓, Kobayashi S. ↑,
64', Misawa N. ↓, Naruoka H. ↑,
64', Tadokoro R. ↓, Mineda Y. ↑,
74', Nakashima K. ↓, Noyori K. ↑,
74', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Udo S. ↑,
74', Yoshida M. ↓, Nodake J. ↑,
80', Kimoto T. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
80', Yoshida M. ↓, Isa K. ↑,
81', Furukawa D. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Mineda Y. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Oita Trinita won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Oita Trinita won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 J3 League
05.04.26	Sagan Tosu - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Oita Trinita - Ryūkyū	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Oita Trinita - Kagoshima United	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLLW
- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 J3 League
05.04.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Renofa Yamaguchi	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Ryūkyū - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
29.03.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita	3:1
Japan J2 League
20.09.25	Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:3
Japan J2 League
16.03.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita	1:1
03.08.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita	2:0
26.05.24	Oita Trinita - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:0
06.08.23	Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita	2:2

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