Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: First Division - Round 15

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Okzhetpes Stadium (Kokshetau)


	Okzhetpes		Kairat 2

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.2
	1.96	3.4	2.88
	2.07	3.52	3.12	Watch
	2.15	3.6	2.6
	2.03	3.52	3.13
	2.1	3.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.5)	3.51 ↑ (2.9)	2.98 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Okzhetpes
44%

Draw
25.7%

Kairat 2
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.3%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

30.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Okzhetpes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Okzhetpes's performance.

Kairat 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Okzhetpes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat 2 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Tolepbergen K. (G) 14. Serikbay A. 7. Miroshnichenko D. 3. Zhaksylykov Z. 4. Zyabko V. 11. Tazhibay B. 35. Shamshi B. 17. Zhumabekov S. 77. Porokh Z. 10. Zhumat D. 23. Gorshunov E.	49. Mendygaliev I. (G) 29. Askarov S. 25. Shirobokov A. 96. Baybek O. (C) 2. Tkachenko Y. 57. Duysenbek S. 78. Saidov E. 86. Abdrakhmanov A. 79. Valgushev G. 91. Sautov A. 95. Litosh A.
Substitutes
24. Abzhanov R. (G) 6. Adil O. 20. Amirkhanov M. 9. Arsamakov S. 13. Gagaev I. 15. Idrisov N. 27. Izbasarov N. 44. Kadysh D. 21. Komariden K. 22. Mikhaylov N. 31. Podymskiy D. (G) 8. Tuliev M.	52. Aitov E. (G) 47. Akhmedov A. 89. Bagdat R. 93. Israilov A. 74. Moldakhmet E. 75. Nurbekuly A. 46. Tolepbergen A. 54. Turdybaev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Shamshi B. ⚽,
21', Tazhibay B. 🟨,
36', Arsamakov S. 🟨,
36', Sautov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 2 - 0, Zhumat D. ⚽,
78', 3 - 0, Komariden K. ⚽,
80', Izbasarov N. 🟨,
82', Askarov S. 🟨,
84', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 5).

Okzhetpes in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kairat 2 is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Okzhetpes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Okzhetpes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Okzhetpes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh First League
04.07.24	Turkistan - Okzhetpes	0:2 ✺
27.06.24	Akzhayik - Okzhetpes	0:2 ✺
20.06.24	Okzhetpes - Aktobe 2	1:0 ✺
14.06.24	Okzhetpes - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
07.06.24	Batyr Ekibastuz - Okzhetpes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWWW
- Kairat Almaty 2
Kazakh First League
03.07.24	Akzhayik - Kairat 2	2:3 ✺
27.06.24	Kairat 2 - Batyr Ekibastuz	3:0 ✺
20.06.24	Kairat 2 - Kaisar 2	6:1 ✺
13.06.24	Zhetisay - Kairat 2	6:2 ✺
07.06.24	Kairat 2 - Arys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
16.07.22	Okzhetpes - Kairat 2	3:2

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