Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 7

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday


	Olaria		Araruama

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.25
				Watch
	1.59	3.44	5.98
				Watch
	1.57	3.46	5.78
	1.53	3.3	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.53)	3.43 ↓ (3.54)	5.63 ↓ (6.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olaria
57.7%

Draw
26.3%

Araruama
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

25.7%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

24.9%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Araruama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olaria than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araruama than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Olaria - Araruama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, Babi ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B1).

Olaria is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Araruama has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Olaria is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Olaria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Olaria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olaria AC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
07.06.25	America RJ - Olaria	0:0 ✺
04.06.25	Olaria - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Duque de Caxias - Olaria	3:2 ✺
26.05.25	Olaria - São Gonçalo	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Petrópolis - Olaria	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLWW
- Araruama FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
08.06.25	Araruama - Bangu	0:1 ✺
04.06.25	Petrópolis - Araruama	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Araruama - Resende	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Cabofriense - Araruama	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Araruama	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
13.07.24	Olaria - Araruama	2:1

Olaria - Araruama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide