Match Info

Date: 11 November 2020, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Olbia		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.75	3.2
	2.5	2.5	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.41	2.65	3.05
	2.53	2.71	3.21
	2.45	2.8	3.2
	2.42	3	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.36)	2.77 ↓ (3.13)	3.11 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olbia
37.6%

Draw
33%

Pergolettese
29.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.6%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

21%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Pergolettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olbia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pergolettese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Olbia - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 14).

Recent matches Olbia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pergolettese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olbia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Olbia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group A
25.10.20	Olbia - Pro Vercelli	0:0 ✺
21.10.20	Piacenza - Olbia	1:1 ✺
18.10.20	Olbia - Livorno	1:1 ✺
11.10.20	Pro Sesto - Olbia	1:1 ✺
07.10.20	Olbia - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTTTL
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
01.11.20	Livorno - Pergolettese	3:2 ✺
25.10.20	Pergolettese - Pro Patria	1:2 ✺
22.10.20	Como - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
18.10.20	Pergolettese - Pro Sesto	1:0 ✺
11.10.20	Pergolettese - Grosseto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
24.11.19	Pergolettese - Olbia	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
30.10.26	AlbinoLeffe - Pergolettese	✺

Olbia - Pergolettese