Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 18

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Olbia		Pontedera

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.9
	2.4	2.9	3.1
	2.48	2.95	2.96
	2.48	2.94	2.93
	2.38	2.9	2.9
	2.4	2.92	2.92
	2.3	2.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.75)	2.92 ↑ (2.88)	2.97 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olbia
38.1%

Draw
31.2%

Pontedera
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

31.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

31.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olbia's performance.

Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontedera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Olbia - Pontedera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rinaldi F. (G) 43. Montebugnoli M. 39. Motolese M. 5. Bellodi G. 2. Zallu F. 4. Dessena D. 15. Zanchetta F. 23. Arboleda C. 10. Ragatzu D. (C) 27. Fabbri F. 21. Biancu R.	30. Vivoli N. (G) 4. Calvani G. 5. Martinelli R. 19. Espeche M. 3. Angori S. 16. Ignacchiti L. 20. Delpupo I. 21. Perretta G. 11. Ianesi S. 10. Benedetti G. 25. Nicastro F.
Substitutes
24. Belloni L. 11. Contini G. 29. Gennari M. 6. Incerti D. F. 3. La Rosa L. 26. Mameli A. 7. Mordini D. 18. Nanni N. 12. Palmisani L. (G) 17. Palomba L. 22. van der Want M. (G)	7. Ambrosini M. 40. Busi J. (G) 9. Fossati D. 18. Guidi M. 1. Lewis L. (G) 8. Marrone F. 14. Paudice L. 6. Pretato M. 29. Salvadori A. 26. Selleri G.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olbia won 2.

Olbia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Pontedera is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olbia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Olbia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Olbia won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Olbia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
09.12.23	Pescara - Olbia	4:0 ✺
06.12.23	Olbia - Rimini	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Olbia - Perugia	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Sestri Levante - Olbia	2:2 ✺
12.11.23	Recanatese - Olbia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLTL
- US Pontedera
Coppa Italia Serie C
12.12.23	Pontedera - Padova	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
09.12.23	Pontedera - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
05.12.23	Pontedera - Pescara	0:5 ✺
02.12.23	Ancona - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.11.23	Virtus Entella - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.12.22	Pontedera - Olbia	5:4
04.09.22	Olbia - Pontedera	1:0
03.04.22	Pontedera - Olbia	1:1
27.11.21	Olbia - Pontedera	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
24.01.21	Pontedera - Olbia	2:1
27.09.20	Olbia - Pontedera	0:1
19.01.20	Olbia - Pontedera	1:1

Olbia - Pontedera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide