Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 16

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Olbia		Perugia

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2
	3.4	3.25	2.1
	3.81	3.15	2.06
	3.81	3.15	2.07
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	3.56	3.14	1.99
	3.6	3.1	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.62)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)	2.03 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olbia
25.6%

Draw
29.2%

Perugia
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

28.2%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olbia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Olbia - Perugia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rinaldi F. (G) 2. Zallu F. 39. Motolese M. 5. Bellodi G. 43. Montebugnoli M. 26. Mameli A. 4. Dessena D. 20. Cavuoti N. 11. Contini G. 67. Scapin T. 21. Biancu R. (C)	12. Adamonis M. (G) 7. Paz Y. 5. Angella G. 6. Vulikic S. 71. Bozzolan A. 24. Torrasi E. 16. Bartolomei P. 23. Lisi F. 26. Santoro S. 20. Ricci F. 10. Matos
Substitutes
23. Arboleda C. 24. Belloni L. 9. Corti A. 27. Fabbri F. 29. Gennari M. 6. Incerti D. F. 3. La Rosa L. 12. Palmisani L. (G) 17. Palomba L. 10. Ragatzu D. 22. van der Want M. (G) 15. Zanchetta F.	18. Acella C. 14. Bezziccheri D. 3. Cancellieri D. 21. Cudrig N. 15. Dell'Orco C. 22. Furlan J. (G) 28. Kouan C. 94. Mezzoni F. 25. Morichelli R. 11. Seghetti A.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Perugia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Perugia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
26.11.23	Sestri Levante - Olbia	2:2 ✺
12.11.23	Recanatese - Olbia	4:1 ✺
05.11.23	Olbia - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
02.11.23	Olbia - Pineto	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Juventus U23 - Olbia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTWL
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.23	Perugia - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Pineto - Perugia	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Perugia - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.11.23	Rimini - Perugia	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
05.11.23	Ancona - Perugia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTWLL

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