Match Info

ITALY: COPPA ITALIA SERIE C - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 12 December 2023, Tuesday


	Pontedera		Padova

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.8	2.8
	2.45	2.95	3	Watch
	2.7	2.91	2.87
	2.7	2.91	2.72
	1.8	3	3.9
	2.62	2.78	2.77
	2.6	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.67)	2.89 ↓ (2.97)	2.97 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
37.2%

Draw
31.9%

Padova
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

30.7%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

31.2%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	7.4%	7.4%

Pontedera - Padova Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Pontedera will win (votes: 46 - 85.2%). Padova will win (votes: 4 - 7.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pontedera: 75.7% – 94.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lewis L. (G) 4. Calvani G. 6. Pretato M. 18. Guidi M. 14. Paudice L. 8. Marrone F. 13. Catanese G. 7. Ambrosini M. 20. Delpupo I. 11. Ianesi S. 26. Selleri G.	99. Zanellati A. (G) 5. Leoni G. 3. Perrotta M. 23. Granata A. 26. Kirwan N. (C) 8. Fusi P. 11. Dezi J. 15. Bianchi N. 30. Favale G. 21. Liguori M. 32. Toldo A.
Substitutes
3. Angori S. 10. Benedetti G. 40. Busi J. (G) 19. Espeche M. 9. Fossati D. 16. Ignacchiti L. 5. Martinelli R. 25. Nicastro F. 21. Perretta G. 29. Salvadori A. 30. Vivoli N. (G)	27. Beccaro A. 20. Bortolussi M. 17. Capelli A. 13. Crescenzi L. 2. Delli Carri F. 1. Donnarumma A. (G) 18. Montrone A. 10. Radrezza I. 12. Rossi R. (G) 7. Varas K. 14. Villa L.

Preview

Recent matches Pontedera is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Padova is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pontedera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pontedera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pontedera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontedera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B
09.12.23	Pontedera - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
05.12.23	Pontedera - Pescara	0:5 ✺
02.12.23	Ancona - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.11.23	Virtus Entella - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.23	Pontedera - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWL
- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
09.12.23	Atalanta U23 - Padova	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Padova - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
30.11.23	Padova - Lumezzane	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
27.11.23	Pergolettese - Padova	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Padova - Pro Vercelli	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
07.02.18	Pontedera - Padova	2:1

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