Match Info

Date: 21 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Marschweg-Stadion (Oldenburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Oldenburg		Verl

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.1
	2.25	3.3	2.9
	2.38	3.4	2.65
	2.2	3.3	3.05
	2.28	3.5	3.23
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.19	3.52	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.22)	3.35 ↑ (3.35)	3 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldenburg
41.4%

Draw
27.7%

Verl
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Verl than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.4%	52.2%	17.4%

Oldenburg - Verl Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Oldenburg will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Verl will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 52.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Oldenburg is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Verl has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oldenburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Oldenburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Oldenburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
12.08.22	Hallescher - Oldenburg	2:0 ✺
09.08.22	Oldenburg - Elversberg	2:3 ✺
06.08.22	1860 München - Oldenburg	1:0 ✺
23.07.22	Oldenburg - Meppen	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.22	Lippstadt 08 - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLTW
- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
13.08.22	Verl - 1860 München	0:1 ✺
10.08.22	Dynamo Dresden - Verl	2:0 ✺
07.08.22	Verl - Waldhof Mannheim	2:2 ✺
23.07.22	Saarbrücken - Verl	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.22	Verl - Borussia Dortmund	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.07.18	Oldenburg - Verl	1:2
10.07.16	Oldenburg - Verl	0:3
26.01.14	Verl - Oldenburg	4:1

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