Match Info

3. Liga - Round 38

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportclub Arena (Verl)

Referee: Wilke M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 7
Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Verl		1860 München

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.1	Watch
	1.65	4.25	4.15	Watch
	1.67	4.39	4.26
	1.67	4.31	4.19	Watch
	1.62	4	4
	1.62	4.15	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)	4.17 ↓ (4.31)	4.15 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verl
55.9%

Draw
22%

1860 München
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

21.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

20.9%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

1860 München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verl than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1860 München than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Verl - 1860 München Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Verl will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Pekruhl F. (G) 20. Mhamdi O. 5. Ens M. 19. Kijewski N. (C) 24. Stocker M. 17. Mesanovic A. 6. Eze J. 28. Otto Y. 10. Taz B. 18. Wessig F. 11. Worner M.	21. Dahne T. (C) 2. Danhof T. 25. Dulic S. 33. Fassmann L. 18. Jakob K. 29. Rittmuller M. 35. Kiefersauer X. 34. Hobsch P. 20. Althaus S. 9. Steinkotter J. 22. Haugen S.
Substitutes
2. Araoye R. 29. Bamba E. 13. Japaur A. 21. Knost T. 1. Schulze P. (G) 7. Stark J. 8. Waidner D.	40. Bachmann P. (G) 13. Christiansen M. 44. Husic L. 41. Lippmann C. 37. Schifferl R. 17. Schroter M. 3. Voet S. 30. Wolfram M.
Coaches
Strobl T.	Kauczinski M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Taz B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Jakob K. 🟨,
59', Worner M. ↓, Knost T. ↑,
59', Otto Y. ↓, Stark J. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Mhamdi O. ⚽, Eze J. (A),
70', Jakob K. ↓, Lippmann C. ↑,
70', Hobsch P. ↓, Wolfram M. ↑,
70', Fassmann L. ↓, Voet S. ↑,
74', Eze J. ↓, Waidner D. ↑,
74', Wessig F. ↓, Japaur A. ↑,
76', Taz B. 🟨,
78', 3 - 0, Stark J. ⚽, Taz B. (A),
79', Danhof T. ↓, Schroter M. ↑,
81', Mhamdi O. ↓, Bamba E. ↑,
84', Althaus S. ↓, Christiansen M. ↑,
89', Dulic S. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Verl won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Verl is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Verl won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Verl won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Verl	7	3	1	3	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Verl
German 3 Bundesliga
09.05.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Verl	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Verl - TSV Havelse	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Osnabrück - Verl	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Verl - Viktoria Köln	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Verl	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLWT
- 1860 München
German 3 Bundesliga
09.05.26	1860 München - Ingolstadt	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Schweinfurt - 1860 München	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	1860 München - Ulm 1846	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Saarbrücken - 1860 München	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	1860 München - Jahn Regensburg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
20.12.25	1860 München - Verl	0:2
10.05.25	Verl - 1860 München	2:2
14.12.24	1860 München - Verl	0:4
24.02.24	Verl - 1860 München	0:1
30.09.23	1860 München - Verl	1:0
19.02.23	1860 München - Verl	0:3
13.08.22	Verl - 1860 München	0:1

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