Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 37

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Marschweg-Stadion (Oldenburg)

Referee: Exner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Oldenburg		Zwickau

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.6
	1.93	3.6	3.6
	1.95	4	3
	1.91	4.16	3.68
	1.88	3.4	3.5
	1.88	3.84	3.54	Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.33)	3.76 ↑ (3.55)	3.48 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oldenburg
48.8%

Draw
24.6%

Zwickau
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

26.4%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

26.3%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oldenburg's performance.

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zwickau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oldenburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zwickau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Oldenburg - Zwickau Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Oldenburg will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Zwickau will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oldenburg: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches Oldenburg is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zwickau is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oldenburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Oldenburg will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oldenburg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
13.05.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Oldenburg	1:3 ✺
07.05.23	Oldenburg - Saarbrücken	0:1 ✺
30.04.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Oldenburg	0:0 ✺
22.04.23	Oldenburg - Freiburg II	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Ingolstadt - Oldenburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WLTTW
- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
13.05.23	Zwickau - Dynamo Dresden	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Zwickau - Waldhof Mannheim	3:1 ✺
30.04.23	Osnabrück - Zwickau	4:3 ✺
23.04.23	Zwickau - Rot-Weiß Essen	RW Essen awarded ✺
16.04.23	Freiburg II - Zwickau	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWL?L

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
13.01.23	Zwickau - Oldenburg	0:1

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