Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 32

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Dreisamstadion (Freiburg)

Referee: Hildenbrand M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Freiburg II		Zwickau

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6
	1.49	4.2	6.5
	1.5	3.95	5.8
	1.5	4.55	6.55
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.48	4.25	6.1	Watch
	1.47	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.61)	4.14 ↑ (4.1)	6.18 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg II
62.6%

Draw
22.4%

Zwickau
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

22.7%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

22.6%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg II than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Freiburg II - Zwickau Predictions

Users Predictions: Freiburg II will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Freiburg II is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zwickau is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zwickau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Freiburg II is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Freiburg II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg II won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Freiburg II
German 3 Bundesliga
08.04.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Freiburg II	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Freiburg II	2:0 ✺
27.03.23	Freiburg II - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Osnabrück - Freiburg II	1:1 ✺
15.03.23	Freiburg II - Wehen Wiesbaden	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTTW
- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
09.04.23	Zwickau - Saarbrücken	2:2 ✺
01.04.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Zwickau	4:3 ✺
26.03.23	Zwickau - Ingolstadt	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Zwickau	4:0 ✺
14.03.23	Zwickau - Erzgebirge Aue	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
21.10.22	Zwickau - Freiburg II	0:1
05.03.22	Freiburg II - Zwickau	1:0
26.09.21	Zwickau - Freiburg II	0:0

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