Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 32

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Ingolstadt		Oldenburg

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.6
	1.95	3.6	3.6
	1.79	3.7	3.85
	1.99	3.75	3.78
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	1.87	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.94	3.4	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.83)	3.55 ↑ (3.4)	3.63 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
48.3%

Draw
26.1%

Oldenburg
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.9%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

26.2%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Oldenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldenburg than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Ingolstadt - Oldenburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Oldenburg will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ingolstadt: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Ingolstadt is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Oldenburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ingolstadt is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
09.04.23	Meppen - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
03.04.23	Ingolstadt - 1860 München	1:3 ✺
26.03.23	Zwickau - Ingolstadt	2:0 ✺
20.03.23	Ingolstadt - Dynamo Dresden	2:3 ✺
15.03.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Ingolstadt	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL
- VfB Oldenburg
German 3 Bundesliga
08.04.23	Oldenburg - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Oldenburg	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Oldenburg - Viktoria Köln	1:3 ✺
18.03.23	Bayreuth - Oldenburg	1:2 ✺
15.03.23	Oldenburg - Borussia Dortmund II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
23.10.22	Oldenburg - Ingolstadt	0:3

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