Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 36

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: GGZ-Arena Zwickau (Zwickau)

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Zwickau		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	6	4.75	1.4
	6.75	4.8	1.4
	6.1	4.5	1.42
	7.31	5.21	1.41
	7	4.2	1.38
	6.9	4.85	1.38	Watch
	6.4	4.7	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.64 ↑ (4.17)	4.72 ↑ (3.82)	1.39 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwickau
14%

Draw
19.6%

Dynamo Dresden
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

24.4%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

24.6%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwickau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zwickau's form might have worsened.

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Dresden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwickau than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zwickau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Dresden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Zwickau - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Zwickau will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zwickau won 1.

Zwickau is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dynamo Dresden is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Dynamo Dresden is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Zwickau won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Zwickau won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 0-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV Zwickau
German 3 Bundesliga
06.05.23	Zwickau - Waldhof Mannheim	3:1 ✺
30.04.23	Osnabrück - Zwickau	4:3 ✺
23.04.23	Zwickau - Rot-Weiß Essen	RW Essen awarded ✺
16.04.23	Freiburg II - Zwickau	4:0 ✺
09.04.23	Zwickau - Saarbrücken	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WL?LT
- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
06.05.23	Dynamo Dresden - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1 ✺
29.04.23	Freiburg II - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Dynamo Dresden - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1 ✺
14.04.23	Saarbrücken - Dynamo Dresden	2:0 ✺
08.04.23	Dynamo Dresden - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.01.23	Zwickau - Dynamo Dresden	0:3
German 3 Bundesliga
12.11.22	Dynamo Dresden - Zwickau	0:0
20.02.21	Zwickau - Dynamo Dresden	0:2
20.10.20	Dynamo Dresden - Zwickau	1:2
Club Friendly
09.01.20	Zwickau - Dynamo Dresden	0:1
14.07.18	Dynamo Dresden - Zwickau	3:2
05.07.15	Zwickau - Dynamo Dresden	0:1

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