Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	Oleksandriya		Desna Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.35
	2.95	3.1	2.28
	2.7	3.05	2.43
	2.88	3.3	2.54
	2.88	3.1	2.5
	2.89	3.35	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.06)	3.19 ↓ (3.27)	2.42 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandriya
32.7%

Draw
29.1%

Desna Chernihiv
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

28.4%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

19.4%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Desna Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oleksandriya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desna Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Desna Chernihiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oleksandriya - Desna Chernihiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Recent matches Oleksandriya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Desna is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Desna will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Oleksandriya won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Oleksandriya won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League
24.10.20	Dynamo Kyiv - Oleksandriya	1:0 ✺
18.10.20	Oleksandriya - Inhulets	4:3 ✺
04.10.20	Olimpik Donetsk - Oleksandriya	3:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.09.20	Oleksandriya - Inhulets	4:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
26.09.20	Oleksandriya - Dnipro-1	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLWW
- Desna Chernihiv
Ukrainian Premier League
24.10.20	Olimpik Donetsk - Desna Chernihiv	0:2 ✺
18.10.20	Dnipro-1 - Desna Chernihiv	2:0 ✺
04.10.20	Desna Chernihiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.09.20	Desna Chernihiv - Rukh Lviv	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
27.09.20	Desna Chernihiv - Rukh Lviv	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
16.07.20	Desna Chernihiv - Oleksandriya	1:3
14.06.20	Oleksandriya - Desna Chernihiv	1:5
01.12.19	Desna Chernihiv - Oleksandriya	2:0
24.08.19	Oleksandriya - Desna Chernihiv	0:3
04.11.18	Oleksandriya - Desna Chernihiv	1:1
05.08.18	Desna Chernihiv - Oleksandriya	0:2
Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.11.14	Desna Chernihiv - Oleksandriya	3:1

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