Match Info

UKRAINE: Premier League - Round 28

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: KSK Nika (Oleksandria)

Referee: Panchyshyn D. (Ukr)


	Oleksandriya		Dnipro-1

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.25
	3.1	3.25	2.25
	3.23	3.5	2.2
	3.34	3.19	2.29
	3.1	3.25	2.15
	3.27	3.25	2.22	Watch
	3.15	3.25	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.24)	3.27 ↑ (3.17)	2.22 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandriya
29.3%

Draw
28.6%

Dnipro-1
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

29.5%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Dnipro-1 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Oleksandriya - Dnipro 1 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Shevchenko M. (G) 22. Skorko D. 26. Ferreira M. 30. Kopyna Y. 24. Martynyuk O. 25. Kalyuzhny I. 91. Mykhaylenko M. 14. Kulakovskyi A. 71. Shostak D. 6. Kovalets K. (C) 33. Juan Alvina	1. Volynets Y. (G) 3. Adamyuk V. 39. Svatok O. (C) 5. Sarapiy E. 42. Pasich Y. 18. Babenko R. 22. Rubchynskyi V. 11. Miroshnichenko D. 27. Ocheretko O. 14. Gadzhyev R. 7. Filippov O.
Substitutes
17. Bazaev Y. 99. De 1. Dolgyi V. (G) 23. Geovani 38. Julio M. 70. Kostyshyn D. 4. Kravchenko A. 88. Pogorilyi V. 8. Sigeev K. 73. Tsevukh Y. 20. Vashchenko D. 44. Yermakov G. (G)	4. Avramenko O. 12. Kinareikin Y. (G) 31. Kivinda D. 25. Kogut I. 17. Lednev B. 29. Melnychenko M. 8. Pikhalyonok O. 34. Tanchyk V. 10. Tretyakov M. 33. Yurchuk V. (G)
Coaches
Kravchenko S.	Maksymov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Shostak D. ⚽, Juan Alvina (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Miroshnichenko D. ↓, Lednev B. ↑,
57', Gadzhyev R. ↓, Pikhalyonok O. ↑,
57', Filippov O. ↓, Kivinda D. ↑,
59', Kulakovskyi A. ↓, Kostyshyn D. ↑,
62', Pasich Y. ↓, Tretyakov M. ↑,
67', Shostak D. ↓, Sigeev K. ↑,
68', Juan Alvina ↓, Pogorilyi V. ↑,
69', Kivinda D. 🟨,
71', Kalyuzhny I. 🟨,
81', Rubchynskyi V. ↓, Kogut I. ↑,
85', Kovalets K. ↓, Kravchenko A. ↑,
90+2', Sarapiy E. 🟨,
90+6', Shevchenko M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oleksandriya won 0.

Oleksandriya is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dnipro-1 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oleksandriya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Oleksandriya have a series of home games.

Dnipro-1 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Oleksandriya won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Oleksandriya won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League
04.05.24	Oleksandriya - Rukh Lviv	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Oleksandriya	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Oleksandriya - LNZ Cherkasy	1:2 ✺
17.04.24	Oleksandriya - Obolon	2:2 ✺
13.04.24	Oleksandriya - Dynamo Kyiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTLTL
- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
06.05.24	Dnipro-1 - Kryvbas	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Dnipro-1 - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Veres Rivne - Dnipro-1	1:1 ✺
15.04.24	Kharkiv - Dnipro-1	1:1 ✺
09.04.24	Dnipro-1 - Zorya Luhansk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
06.11.23	Dnipro-1 - Oleksandriya	1:0
11.05.23	Dnipro-1 - Oleksandriya	1:1
04.03.23	Oleksandriya - Dnipro-1	2:2
20.11.21	Dnipro-1 - Oleksandriya	3:1
08.03.21	Dnipro-1 - Oleksandriya	0:0
Ukrainian Cup
03.03.21	Dnipro-1 - Oleksandriya	1:2 penalties
Ukrainian Premier League
26.09.20	Oleksandriya - Dnipro-1	4:1

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