Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb (Asunción)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, VIX
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2, Tigo Sports
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA, Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2


	Olimpia Asuncion		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.00	2.75	Watch
	2.65	3.00	2.75
	2.65	2.92	2.72	Watch
	2.74	3.1	2.84
	2.68	3.08	2.82	Watch
	2.65	3	2.8
	2.76	3.17	2.91	Watch
	2.7	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.42)	3.05 ↓ (3.17)	2.81 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Asuncion
35.1%

Draw
31.1%

Vasco da Gama
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

30.2%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

31.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Olimpia Asuncion - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olveira G. (C) 27. Caceres R. 2. Bentaberry B. 15. Gamarra M. 23. Matus E. 5. Alfaro J. F. 7. Cardozo F. 26. Sanchez R. 20. Delmas E. 37. Benitez R. 31. Romero B.	1. Leo Jardim (G) 2. Rodriguez J. 46. Cuesta C. 30. Robert Renan 66. Cuiabano 83. Ramon Rique 88. Cauan Barros 23. Thiago Mendes (C) 28. Adson 7. David 11. Gomez A.
Substitutes
35. Alfonso F. 24. Caballero Fleytas T. I. 11. Ferreira S. 8. Franco Zayas A. F. 25. Lentinelly S. (G) 19. Lezcano R. 6. Ortiz R. 4. Payne T. 30. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 9. Sandoval H. 14. Vargas G. 22. Vera J.	80. Andre B. 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 18. Hinestroza M. 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Lucas Piton 86. Lukas Zuccarello 17. Moreira N. 96. Paulo Henrique 82. Riquelme Avellar 67. Samuel 77. Spinelli C. 3. Tche Tche
Coaches
Sanchez P.	Emanuel P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, Matus E. ⚽,
22', Ramon Rique 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Thiago Mendes ⚽, David (A),
36', 1 - 2, David ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', Gomez A. 🟨,
55', Cardozo F. ↓, Sandoval H. ↑,
63', Romero B. ↓, Ferreira S. ↑,
63', Ramon Rique ↓, Tche Tche ↑,
64', Sandoval H. 🟨,
66', Bentaberry B. 🟨,
70', 1 - 3, Adson ⚽, Thiago Mendes (A),
78', Thiago Mendes 🟨,
79', Gomez A. ↓, Moreira N. ↑,
79', David ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
80', Alfaro J. F. ↓, Franco Zayas A. F. ↑,
80', Bentaberry B. ↓, Vargas G. ↑,
80', Delmas E. ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,
83', Cuesta C. 🟨,
84', 1 - 4, Spinelli C. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
86', Robert Renan ↓, Paulo Henrique ↑,
86', Adson ↓, Lucas Freitas ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Olimpia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Vasco: 20.19%

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Asuncion - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.56%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Vasco da Gama - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 30.25%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.08.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Olimpia Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.08.26	2 de Mayo - Olimpia Asuncion	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	5:0 ✺
29.07.26	Nacional Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLWL
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Santos	0:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Olimpia Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.26	Bahia - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.08.26	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
13.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Olimpia Asuncion	0:0
20.05.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Vasco da Gama	3:1
30.04.26	Vasco da Gama - Olimpia Asuncion	3:0

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