Match Info

Division 2 - Round 32

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Olimpia Elbląg		Hutnik

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.6	1.68
	4.3	3.55	1.71
	4.42	3.65	1.74
	4.53	3.65	1.75	Watch
	4.38	3.5	1.71	Watch
	4.3	3.55	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.63)	3.58 ↑ (3.43)	1.72 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
21.1%

Draw
25.6%

Hutnik
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

26.5%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25.7%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Hutnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hutnik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Olimpia Elbląg - Hutnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valion A. (G) 12. Czaplinski D. 5. Gorecki K. 19. Kozera D. 21. Lorenc M. 3. Matynia H. (C) 20. Semeniv D. 25. Sznajder F. 13. Tobojka M. 30. Wierzba D. 17. Zielinski W.	12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 10. Glogowski K. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 76. Kielis P. 77. Kuzimski M. 24. Semik K. 11. Slomka W. 22. Sowinski M. 32. Tarasovs I. 6. Urbanczyk M. 27. Wilak F.
Substitutes
6. Czernis M. 15. Fyk O. 4. Laszak K. 7. Skwierczynski K. 16. Szalecki D. 14. Tyaglo O. 27. Witan A. (G)	9. Belych Y. . Kopyscianski K. 37. Motrycz A. 19. Rzepka K. 21. Szablowski K. 23. Tomal J. 31. Zagrodnik J. (G) 20. Zieba M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, ⚽,
28', 🟨,
29', 🟨,
39', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 0 - 4, ⚽,
76', 0 - 5, ⚽,
78', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Elbląg is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elbląg won 0.

Elbląg has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Hutnik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hutnik is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Elbląg won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Elbląg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
17.05.25	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Elbląg	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Olimpia Elbląg - ŁKS Łódź II	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Elbląg	4:2 ✺
26.04.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Resovia Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Olimpia Elbląg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLL
- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
17.05.25	Hutnik - Polonia Bytom	3:5 ✺
11.05.25	Hutnik - KKS Kalisz	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Hutnik	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Hutnik	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
27.10.24	Hutnik - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1
04.05.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Hutnik	0:0
21.10.23	Hutnik - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0
15.04.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Hutnik	0:1
10.09.22	Hutnik - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1
27.11.21	Hutnik - Olimpia Elbląg	0:3
07.08.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Hutnik	1:0

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