Match Info

Division 2 - Round 27

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion BTS Rekord (Bielsko-Biała)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Rekord Bielsko-Biała		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.4
	1.91	3.4	3.5
	2.25	3.57	2.96
	2.22	3.57	2.99
	2.6	3.1	2.45
	2.17	3.4	3.19	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.79)	3.38 ↓ (3.65)	3 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rekord Bielsko-Biała
41.7%

Draw
27.4%

Olimpia Elbląg
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rekord Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rekord Bielsko-Biała's form might have worsened.

Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Elbląg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rekord Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rekord Bielsko-Biała, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Elbląg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rekord Bielsko Biała - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bielsko-Biała (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Kaczorowski W. (G) 8. Boczek T. 28. Ciucka J. 30. Kareta K. 18. Kempny J. 91. Klichowicz M. 6. Nowak T. 33. Pankowski M. 5. Soszynski L. 11. Swiderski D. 26. Walaszek T.	27. Witan A. (G) 12. Czaplinski D. 6. Czernis M. 5. Gorecki K. 19. Kozera D. 21. Lorenc M. 3. Matynia H. (C) 20. Semeniv D. 16. Szalecki D. 30. Wierzba D. 10. Yatsenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Swiderski D. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Ciucka J. ⚽,
56', 3 - 0, Swiderski D. ⚽,
71', 4 - 0, Zyrek H. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 in the zone Division 2 (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Bielsko-Biała is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Elbląg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Elbląg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bielsko-Biała will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bielsko-Biała won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 2
12.04.25	Hutnik - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - KKS Kalisz	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
14.03.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTWTW
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
12.04.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Olimpia Elbląg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
21.09.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:4

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