Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	Olimpia Elbląg		Kotwica Kołobrzeg

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.2
	2.85	3.4	2.2
	3.01	3.45	2.29
	3.01	3.24	2.29
	2.7	3.3	2.1
	2.89	3.32	2.2	Watch
	2.95	3.45	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.4)	3.35 ↑ (3.25)	2.22 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
31.7%

Draw
27.2%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.3%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olimpia Elbląg's form might have worsened.

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kotwica Kołobrzeg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Elbląg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kotwica Kołobrzeg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Olimpia Elbląg - Kotwica Kołobrzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Legowski L. (G) 11. Famulak M. 15. Jakubczyk P. 7. Jozwicki K. 19. Kozera D. 29. Sangowski J. 16. Spychala M. 17. Stefaniak M. 5. Szczudlinski K. 30. Wierzba D. 20. Zak A. (C)	12. Michalski K. (G) 93. Jonathan Junior 11. Kaczmarek T. 7. Kosakiewicz L. 21. Kozajda M. 9. Kozlowski F. 19. Murawski S. 24. Oliveira F. 4. Polak C. 52. Rzezniczak J. (C) 8. Zubrowski J.
Substitutes
6. Bartos K. 21. Filipczyk K. 9. Gabrych M. 23. Labecki K. 4. Laszak K. 24. Mruk B. 10. Senkevich Y. 27. Witan A. (G) 28. Yatsenko O.	94. Abbott Z. 10. Cywinski M. 88. Koziol M. (G) 77. Madembo T. 99. Nowak O. 1. Pogorzelec O. (G) 5. Pytlewski P. 23. Rakowski M. 16. Soljic J.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Recent matches Elbląg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kotwica Kołobrzeg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kotwica Kołobrzeg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Elbląg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Elbląg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
11.11.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:1 ✺
03.11.23	Polonia Bytom - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	4:1 ✺
21.10.23	Hutnik - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
13.10.23	Olimpia Elbląg - KKS Kalisz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLT
- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 2
18.11.23	Polonia Bytom - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:3 ✺
10.11.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Hutnik - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:5 ✺
28.10.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - KKS Kalisz	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
29.07.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Olimpia Elbląg	2:0
07.05.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Olimpia Elbląg	2:0
01.10.22	Olimpia Elbląg - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:0
03.06.17	Olimpia Elbląg - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:1
12.11.16	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Olimpia Elbląg	2:2

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