Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 15

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Suche Stawy (Kraków)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Hutnik		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.4
	1.85	3.65	3.5	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.56
	1.96	3.71	3.52	Watch
	1.8	3.5	3.5
	1.87	3.54	3.54
	1.85	3.65	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.91)	3.59 ↑ (3.49)	3.5 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hutnik
48.7%

Draw
25.3%

Olimpia Elbląg
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

26.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

25.5%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hutnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The chances for Olimpia Elbląg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Hutnik - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fratczak D. (G) 9. Belych Y. 77. Glogowski M. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 3. Jania F. 8. Misak P. 11. Slomka W. 22. Sowinski M. 32. Tarasovs I. 23. Tomal J. 6. Urbanczyk M.	27. Witan A. (G) 12. Czaplinski D. 17. Fadecki W. 19. Kozera D. 13. Kuczalek M. (C) 9. Kuzimski M. 7. Stepien R. 16. Szalecki D. 5. Szczudlinski K. 14. Tiahlo O. 30. Wierzba D.
Substitutes
10. Glogowski K. 64. Gorski M. 12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 17. Ikwuka A. 4. Kedziora L. 70. Pietrzyk K. 15. Soprych O. 25. Stodulski K.	6. Czernis M. 29. Jasinski M. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 4. Laszak K. 24. Mruk B. 10. Senkevich Y. 1. Tulowiecki K. (G) 28. Yatsenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Glogowski M. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Kozera D. ⚽,
27', 🟨,
29', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 🟨,
60', 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, ⚽,
81', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hutnik won 3.

Hutnik is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Elbląg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hutnik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hutnik will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hutnik won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 0.6:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Hutnik won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
19.10.24	Polonia Bytom - Hutnik	2:0 ✺
11.10.24	KKS Kalisz - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Hutnik - ŁKS Łódź II	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Hutnik - Piast Gliwice	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTTL
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
23.10.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Olimpia Elbląg	3:1 ✺
20.10.24	Olimpia Elbląg - KKS Kalisz	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Olimpia Elbląg	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
04.05.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Hutnik	0:0
21.10.23	Hutnik - Olimpia Elbląg	1:0
15.04.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Hutnik	0:1
10.09.22	Hutnik - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1
27.11.21	Hutnik - Olimpia Elbląg	0:3
07.08.21	Olimpia Elbląg - Hutnik	1:0
10.04.21	Hutnik - Olimpia Elbląg	0:0

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