Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Polonia Bytom		Kotwica Kołobrzeg

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.95
	3.25	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.04
	3.2	3.3	2.04
	3	3.5	1.91
	3.22	3.5	1.98	Watch
	3.2	3.65	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (3)	3.52 ↑ (3.25)	1.99 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Bytom
28.6%

Draw
25.8%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

27.9%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kotwica Kołobrzeg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Polonia Bytom - Kotwica Kołobrzeg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Hajduk K. (G) 11. Andrzejczak K. 22. Bedronka M. 18. Gajda T. 8. Jopek S. 25. Konieczny D. 29. Piekarski A. 16. Stefanski P. 2. Szmigiel M. 19. Wolny D. 7. Zielinski L.	12. Michalski K. (G) 10. Cywinski M. 39. Jonathan Junior 11. Kaczmarek T. 7. Kosakiewicz L. 21. Kozajda M. 24. Oliveira F. 5. Pytlewski P. 52. Rzezniczak J. (C) 66. Witasik P. 8. Zubrowski J.
Substitutes
24. Budzik D. 15. Krzemien D. 26. Lawrynowicz I. 28. Ochwat G. 9. Ropski K. 6. Scislak D. 10. Zagiel F. 40. Zagorski P. (G) 20. Zejdler L.	94. Abbott Z. 88. Koziol M. (G) 9. Kozlowski F. 77. Madembo T. 19. Murawski S. 99. Nowak O. 23. Rakowski M. 16. Soljic J. 14. Stasiak A.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

Polonia Bytom is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kotwica Kołobrzeg is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Polonia Bytom could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kotwica Kołobrzeg will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Polonia Bytom won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Polonia Bytom won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 2
12.11.23	Lech Poznań 2 - Polonia Bytom	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
08.11.23	Polonia Bytom - Arka Gdynia	1:3 ET ✺
Polish Division 2
03.11.23	Polonia Bytom - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Polonia Bytom - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Polonia Bytom	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWTL
- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 2
10.11.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	Hutnik - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	3:5 ✺
28.10.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - KKS Kalisz	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Stomil Olsztyn - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:1 ✺
18.10.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
22.07.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia Bytom	0:1
17.05.17	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia Bytom	1:0
21.10.16	Polonia Bytom - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	2:2
11.05.16	Polonia Bytom - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:0
17.10.15	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Polonia Bytom	1:0

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