Match Info

Division 2 - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: MOSiR (Bytów)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Olimpia Grudziądz		Podhale Nowy Targ

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.50	3.30
	1.88	3.4	3.35
	1.89	3.67	3.56
	1.93	3.69	3.56	Watch
	1.84	3.5	3.45
	1.85	3.62	3.52	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)	3.55 ↑ (3.38)	3.43 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Grudziądz
48.2%

Draw
25.5%

Podhale Nowy Targ
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26.2%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

24.2%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Podhale Nowy Targ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Olimpia Grudziądz - Podhale Nowy Targ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jerke M. (G) 33. Abramowicz D. (C) 9. Baldyga D. 14. Brzek B. 10. Cichon K. 22. Jastrzembski D. 20. Kolasa A. 3. Michalski S. 7. Olejarka D. 19. Stec J. 25. Zbiciak B.	33. Fratczak D. (G) 56. Baniowski F. 28. Brod A. 11. Kubik T. 29. Marcinho 10. Nowak A. 2. Salak K. 7. Seweryn L. 4. Sewerys R. 17. Surzyn M. 21. Vosko P.
Substitutes
16. Fietz K. 44. Frelek D. 18. Jarzec K. 70. Nowacki F. 99. Pawlak J. (G) 29. Szafranek W. 93. Tsyupa I. 5. Wichtowski M. 11. Wilak F.	41. Gozdecki N. 77. Koltanski D. 42. Lipien M. 6. Mikolajczyk B. 18. Pecarka R. 23. Rachwal R. 14. Sobczak S. 1. Styrczula M. (G) 61. Talar K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Surzyn M. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Marcinho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Stec J. ↓, Szafranek W. ↑,
46', Kolasa A. ↓, Nowacki F. ↑,
46', Brzek B. ↓, Jarzec K. ↑,
46', 1 - 2, Szafranek W. ⚽,
53', Abramowicz D. 🟨,
53', 🟨,
58', Cichon K. 🟨,
60', Cichon K. ↓, Frelek D. ↑,
71', 1 - 3, Marcinho ⚽,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Olimpia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Podhale has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Podhale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Olimpia has had a series of away games.

Olimpia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Olimpia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Ol. Grudziadz: 6.52% Podhale Nowy Targ: 3.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	10	5	2	3	20:18	2	17
10	Ol. Grudziadz	10	4	3	3	13:16	-3	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
23.08.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Znicz Pruszków - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	GKS Tychy - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Olimpia Grudziądz - Swit Skolwin	5:3 ET ✺
Polish Division 2
01.08.26	Lechia Zielona Góra - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTWT
- NKP Podhale Nowy Targ
Polish Division 2
22.08.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Resovia Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Górnik Łęczna - Podhale Nowy Targ	5:2 ✺
08.08.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Hutnik	2:5 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
01.08.26	Sokół Kleczew - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
22.02.26	Podhale Nowy Targ - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:2
10.08.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Podhale Nowy Targ	0:1

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