Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 5

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Grudziądzu (Grudziądz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Olimpia Grudziądz		Zagłębie 2 Lubin

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.53	3.75	5.5
	1.49	4.17	6.18
	1.53	3.88	5.62
	1.57	3.7	5
	1.51	3.85	5.73	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.79)	3.83 ↑ (3.5)	5.5 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Grudziądz
59.7%

Draw
23.8%

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.1%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Grudziądz's performance.

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zagłębie 2 Lubin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olimpia Grudziądz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zagłębie 2 Lubin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Olimpia Grudziądz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Olimpia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Zagłębie 2 will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gorski K. (G) 21. Bonikowski J. 10. Cichon K. 44. Frelek D. 7. Kaczmarek T. 77. Kobryn R. 4. Kostkowski D. (C) 11. Krocz S. 9. Mas M. 93. Tsyupa I. 25. Zbiciak B.	1. Matys M. (G) 2. Dorozko J. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 9. Gregorski D. 5. Jach J. (C) 10. Kolanko K. 11. Kruszelnicki P. 4. Lepczynski K. 7. Regula M. 3. Sochan K. 8. Terlecki K.
Substitutes
33. Depka P. (G) 18. Jarzec K. 2. Maruszak I. . Nowak D. 29. Rychert K. 26. Sewerzynski O. 6. Sikorski O. 20. Vu Thanh D. . Wozny P.	17. Antkiewicz F. 12. Bieszczad K. (G) 16. Drozdzik O. 18. Frankowski M. 15. Kubacki A. 13. Lipp M. 6. Loboda J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
77', 1 - 0, Kostkowski D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 2
10.08.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
07.08.24	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
03.08.24	Olimpia Grudziądz - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	0:1 ✺
28.07.24	Polonia Bytom - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:0 ✺
21.07.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Olimpia Grudziądz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLLL
- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
14.08.24	Wisła Puławy - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	5:1 ✺
11.08.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
06.08.24	Hutnik - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	4:1 ET ✺
Polish Division 2
02.08.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Wieczysta Kraków	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
30.03.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:2
16.09.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:2

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