Match Info

III Liga - Group III - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin) 🌤️ ...


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Zagłębie Sosnowiec

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.35	2.62
	2.48	3.31	2.47
	2.26	3.58	2.69	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.4
	2.26	3.6	2.78	Watch
	2.14	3.45	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.16)	3.42 ↑ (3.41)	2.61 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
39.1%

Draw
26.3%

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
34.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

27%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Madej L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Division 2 Promotion - Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion - Division 2).

Zagłębie 2 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Zagłębie Sosnowiec may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Zagłębie 2 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zagłębie 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	14	10	1	3	21:10	11	31
4	Zaglebie II	14	7	6	1	27:16	11	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 3 - Group III
10.10.26	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:1 ✺
02.10.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polkowice	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Barycz Sułów - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:3 ✺
18.09.26	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Carina Gubin	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	ROW Rybnik - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTTWT
- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 3 - Group III
14.10.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Raków Częstochowa II	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Kluczbork	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Polkowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Polonia Nysa - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
08.03.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	3:1
11.08.24	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	0:0

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