Match Info

BRAZIL: SERGIPANO - RELEGATION - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Olimpico EC		Carmópolis

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.7	2.78
	2.62	2.7	2.78
	2.53	2.92	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.45)	2.77 ↓ (3)	2.76 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpico EC
34.8%

Draw
32.5%

Carmópolis
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

27.3%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpico EC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Carmópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpico EC than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmópolis than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
54', ⚽,
69', ⚽,
84', ⚽,
90+2', ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 in the zone Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Olimpico EC is Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs )

Carmópolis is Sergipano (Relegation ~ Play Offs )

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Carmópolis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Olimpico EC won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpico EC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
13.03.24	Olimpico EC - Sergipe	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	América de Propriá - Olimpico EC	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Atlético Gloriense - Olimpico EC	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Olimpico EC - Lagarto	0:2 ✺
04.02.24	Carmópolis - Olimpico EC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLLT
- AD Carmópolis
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
02.03.24	Falcon - Carmópolis	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Carmópolis - Dorense	2:3 ✺
17.02.24	Lagarto - Carmópolis	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Carmópolis - Sergipe	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Carmópolis - Olimpico EC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
04.02.24	Carmópolis - Olimpico EC	0:0

Olimpico EC - Carmópolis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide