Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Tábua (Tábua)


	Oliveira Hospital		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.7	5.9
	1.47	3.7	7.05
	1.47	3.68	7.07	Watch
	1.44	3.4	6.5
	1.47	3.62	6.9
	1.42	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.59)	3.64 ↑ (3.4)	6.74 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveira Hospital
61.8%

Draw
24.8%

SC Lusitânia
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

25.8%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveira Hospital has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Oliveira Hospital is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SC Lusitânia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

SC Lusitânia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, SC Lusitânia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Oliveira Hospital is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oliveira Hospital won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Oliveira Hospital won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliveira Hospital
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
07.12.25	União da Serra - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Oliveira Hospital - SB Castelo Branco	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Oliveira Hospital - Peniche	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Eléctrico - Oliveira Hospital	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Oliveira Hospital - Vitória de Sernache	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTWT
- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
06.12.25	SC Lusitânia - Marinhense	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	SC Lusitânia - Lajense	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	SC Lusitânia - Fatima	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	União da Serra - SC Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	SC Lusitânia - SB Castelo Branco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
04.05.25	SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital	2:2
16.02.25	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	1:1
22.01.25	SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital	0:0
29.09.24	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	1:1

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